$BTC Looking back at the Russia-Ukraine war, as well as the previous Israel-Palestine and Israel-Iran conflicts, there are various wars every year that create noise. In reality, what truly affects BTC price is liquidity; everything else is just noise.
In my view, for the midterm elections, Trump would prefer the Middle East conflict to end before June. Once oil prices come down, it would be convenient to manage expectations for rate cuts, and the overall market could continue to ATH. This leaves less than 6 months for a pullback and consolidation.
The market will show direction by early May a