Double Boi surged intraday to 2348.92 then quickly fell back, with a clear double top pattern forming above 2330 on the 15-minute chart. The high level saw decreasing volume and stagnation, with divergence between volume and price; bullish momentum has already exhausted. We remain firmly bearish, positioning on rallies, as rebounds are just opportunities to short, and declines are the main trend. Don't be fooled by the short-term bullish candles of Double Boi; the correction in a downtrend has never been about building a bottom but a gentle trap for counter-trend traders. After surging to 2331.88, this wave quickly weakened, and the long upper shadow revealed heavy selling pressure above. Every rebound is draining bullish strength, while bears are accumulating momentum. Evening Strategy Short positions can be arranged around 2320-2350 for Double Boi, aiming lower; if 2280-2250 breaks, continue to watch for a move down to 2200.

The BTC rebound brought about by the US-Iran ceasefire is just a short-term, emotion-driven market movement, not a sign of a long-term reversal—remember, this ceasefire only lasts for two weeks, and the negotiation prospects remain uncertain. Less than 48 hours after the signing of the ceasefire agreement, cracks have already appeared, the Strait of Hormuz is still not fully open, and geopolitical risks have not been completely eliminated. Many people are blinded by the short-term surge, always thinking "one big move to get rich," blindly chasing the rebound of BTC, hoping for a double in one night. As a result, they either buy at the high point, panic when the market slightly retraces, or hold greedily, giving back the small profits they just made. In contrast, those who can truly profit steadily in the crypto space never seek quick gains from this rebound. They either enter with small positions early in the market, taking advantage of the ceasefire positive signals, and exit decisively after earning 5%-10%, avoiding greed and prolonged battles; or they patiently observe, not swayed by short-term fluctuations, waiting until the trend becomes clearer and risks decrease before gradually deploying. For them, even modest gains from this rebound are secure profits, far more reliable than chasing high risks for big moves. There has never been a risk-free market in crypto, especially in rebounds driven by geopolitical events, which are highly volatile and uncertain. The BTC rebound caused by the US-Iran ceasefire, while temporarily boosting prices, hides many concerns—unresolved negotiation disagreements, the risk of geopolitical tensions reigniting at any time. If the news reverses, BTC could easily give back all gains or even fall again. While making quick profits is tempting, it often comes with the risk of losing everything—one wrong move in chasing highs could wipe out all previous profits. Conversely, those small, seemingly modest gains, though limited each time, are stable and controllable, accumulating over time to achieve long-term profitability. Just like this BTC rebound caused by the US-Iran ceasefire—some chase greedily and get trapped; others take profits calmly and secure their gains. The difference behind this is never about vision but about mindset and execution. Earning a little less is not scary; what’s frightening is rushing for quick success and greed, always hoping to get rich overnight through a single market move, only to end up with nothing. In the end, trading crypto is not about who makes money faster or more; it’s about who can make steady, long-term profits. The BTC rebound driven by the US-Iran ceasefire is just a microcosm of countless market movements in crypto. There will be many more fluctuations and opportunities in the future. Remember, earning less does not mean not earning; consistent earning is true earning. Avoid greed for huge profits, chasing highs, or holding onto risky positions. Protect every small, steady gain, control risks, and move forward steadily. Only then can you stand firm in the waves of the crypto market and become a true winner.

If you can handle the truth, I’ve something important to say about $BTC.