TunaKAYA

MARKET TALK
RETURNS OF INVESTMENT VEHICLES IN THE LAST 50 YEARS IN USD:
When we focus on (USD) returns, the ranking becomes clearer because it is stripped of local inflation effects. Considering the last 50 years from (1976-2026), the most profitable assets in dollar terms are as follows:
1. Bitcoin (USD Return: Astronomical)
Introduced in 2009, Bitcoin is by far the highest-yielding asset when viewed in dollar terms. Its price was well below 1 dollar in its early years, but today it is expressed in tens of thousands of dollars, achieving a dollar-based return of hundreds of thousands

MARKET TALK
THE RIGHT DEBT CREATES WEALTH...
Debt is not just an obligation; when used correctly, it is a leverage, and when used incorrectly, it is a financial prison. In financial literacy, we define this distinction as "Good Debt" and "Bad Debt."
Here are the fundamental differences between them in terms of investing:
1. Good Debt (Debt That Builds Wealth)
Good debt is debt used to acquire assets that put money in your pocket or have the potential to increase in value in the future. It is generally characterized by low interest rates and a long-term horizon.
• Feature: The cost

Donald Trump’s latest statement:
The United States' New Military and Economic Measures Against Iran
• Strait of Hormuz Blockade: The U.S. Navy will immediately initiate a blockade process targeting all ships entering and exiting the Strait of Hormuz.
• Illegal Tolls/Transit Fee Ban: All ships paying (toll) to Iran will be stopped in international waters and will be subject to intervention. These ships will not be granted safe passage rights.
• Mine Clearance Operation: The U.S. will begin clearing mines allegedly laid by Iran in the strait.
• Severe Military Response: Any Iranian element firin

News from Islamabad seems likely to shake the markets. Here's the summary and strategy I prepared for Monday's opening:
• Talks Collapsed: US-Iran negotiations ended without agreement. The Strait of Hormuz and uranium crisis continue.
• Oil: The $100 threshold is critical; if broken, it could open the way to $110. Inflationary pressures are increasing.
• Gold & Silver: Our stop-loss level for ounce gold is $4,651. Tensions remain high in safe havens.
• Cryptocurrency: Bitcoin lost the $71,800 support, and we are monitoring the levels of $70,400 and $67,000.
• Istanbul Stock Exchange: Watch out

🇮🇷🇺🇸 Iranian media reports that the U.S. has agreed to release Iran's frozen assets during talks in Islamabad.

🔶Don't be surprised if the Fed raises interest rates this year! ⚠️
🔶The markets are pricing in a "ceasefire," but everything is hanging by a thread.
🔶What should gold investors do?
🔶Which levels are critical on the Istanbul Stock Exchange?
🔶How important is it to stay in cash? 👇
#Altın #Silver #Borsa #Bitcoin #Dolar #BIST100 #Ethereum #Quantfury #FED #Inflation #ABD #IranWar #nasdaq #SPX500 #spx #DXY #US10Y #Interest Rates #CBRT

BREAKING NEWS!!
US Inflation Data Consumer Price Index (CPI) Released:
Yearly:
Expectation: 3.4%
Actual: 3.3%
Monthly:
Expectation: 1%
Actual: 0.9%

Energy shock has brought inflation back, the Fed's hands are tied!!
The US March inflation data has been announced:
Confirmed the "hot" scenario expected in the markets. The annual inflation (CPI), influenced by the rise in energy costs, showed a sharp increase from 2.4% in February to 3.3%.
I can summarize the possible and actual effects of these data on asset classes as follows:
1. Gold and Silver (Ounce)
Short-term Pressure: Higher-than-expected inflation will cause the Fed to delay interest rate cuts, raising the dollar index (DXY) and bond yields. This may create selling pressure on gold

BREAKING NEWS!!
US Inflation Data Consumer Price Index (CPI) Released:
Yearly:
Expectation: 3.4%
Reported: 3.3%
Monthly:
Expectation: 1%
Reported: 0.9%
Positive for the markets.

The situation in the Strait of Hormuz is quite critical...
As of April 10, 2026, although there is a de facto ceasefire in the region on paper, the actual transit has almost come to a halt.
Here are the current data and the latest situation in the strait:
Number of Ships Transiting (April 2026)
Normally, an average of 60-140 ships pass through the strait daily, but current figures have dropped to symbolic levels:
Daily Transits: Only 2-3 ships are reported to have passed in the last 24 hours.
Capacity Loss: Maritime traffic is operating at 90-95% below normal levels.
Waiting Ships: The number

Friends, let's focus on the numbers when determining the market direction:
🔸Staying above 13,800 on the Istanbul Stock Exchange will take us to the 14,200 target.
🔸The pullback in gold is part of the movement within the $4,650-$4,900 range. No need to panic, the trend is still upward.
🔸The ratio in silver has started to turn in favor, with $75 being a critical threshold.
🔸In Bitcoin, the increase in global liquidity will continue to reflect in prices.
We see once again the importance of creating a basket. Continue to wait patiently. ☕️📊
#Altın #Silver #Borsa #Bitcoin

⚠️FACES ARE BLOCKED!!
The first round of the historic peace talks between the US and Iran is expected to begin today, that is, on Friday, April 10, 2026, in Islamabad, the capital of Pakistan.
The talks represent the most critical phase of the two-week ceasefire process reached to halt the US-Israel-Iran war that began at the end of February. The US side is represented by Vice President JD Vance, while the Iranian delegation is led by Parliament Speaker Muhammad Bakir Kalibaf.
The impact of this critical meeting on the markets has already started to be felt, and depending on the course of the

🇺🇸🇮🇷 The U.S. and Iran will hold peace talks in Islamabad, Pakistan, on Saturday morning.
U.S. Delegation:
• JD Vance
• Kushner
• Witkoff
Iranian Delegation:
• Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf
• Foreign Minister Araghchi

BREAKING NEWS:
Netanyahu announced that Israel will begin negotiations with Lebanon.