# FOMCWatch

Will a new Federal Reserve Chair #الفيدرالي support cryptocurrencies faster than expected?
President Trump says he might fire Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, opening the door to new leadership at the Fed.
If that happens, the U.S. central bank could adopt a more crypto-friendly monetary policy sooner than anticipated.
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The probability of maintaining #الفائدة rates at the Federal Reserve during its monetary policy meeting in January rises to 87% in the "Poli Market" expectations market on Tuesday, December 30, compared to a 82% probability a week earlier.
📌 A 25 basis point rate cut at the next Fed meeting remains a 13% probability in this market.
📌 The Federal Reserve will cut interest rates three times in 2025 by 25 basis points each time, bringing the interest rate level to between 3.5% and 3.75%.
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Liquidity Coming in 2026 - The Market Knows It
You can clearly observe this through the way investors position themselves in prediction markets. The probability of interest rate cuts in January is low, in March it’s possible, and by spring and summer, the market definitively confirms: "Yes, interest rate cuts are coming." 👀
This is important because markets do not wait for the Federal Reserve to move; they move based on expectations first. By the time interest rate cuts become official, prices are usually already high.
Currently, cryptocurrencies appear dull, volatile, and discouraged. This i

Important and impactful events on the market next week. If you're interested, open the article.
December 29 - January 2
- Pending Home Sales
A real estate index reflecting activity in existing home contracts
Weaker data may reveal a purchasing power crisis, which supports positive expectations for monetary easing in the market)
(December 30)
- Federal Reserve Minutes
Revealing details of discussions on interest rates (%3.75-4.00 and economic forecasts
Negative signals about inflation may strengthen the dollar and pressure assets, while optimism for 2026 supports market growth
(December 31)
-

Will the Responsible Financial Innovation Act #RFIA of 2026 bring clarity to cryptocurrency regulations? Senator Lummis announces the bill.
Senator Cynthia Lummis stated that the Responsible Financial Innovation Act of 2026 "will draw a clear line between securities and commodities."
- Supporting legitimate cryptocurrency projects while ensuring investor safety.
- Identifying the government agency responsible for regulating different types of digital assets.
- Protecting consumers and preventing financial crimes.
- Regulating stablecoins with full reserves and a 1:1 redemption ratio.
The Resp

The liquidity crisis fuels a wave of selling in cryptocurrencies: Kiyosaki remains optimistic!
Robert Kiyosaki, author of "Rich Dad Poor Dad," says he will not sell his digital currency "#بيتكوين " despite the sharp decline, attributing it to a global liquidity shortage, not to a lack of conviction.
Kiyosaki expects that governments will launch the "great plan"; that is, issuing massive amounts of money to cover rising debts; which he believes will soon boost the prices of gold and silver and #Bitcoin and #Ethereum with the "collapse of fake fiat currencies."
The Fear and Greed Index reaches

Someone who spent only $3,880 on 1,000 #Bitcoin fourteen years ago, when the price was just $3.88 each, now holds $89.5 million. A 23,000x return may seem insane, but this is exactly what happens when the world overlooks something.
Everyone wishes for results like these, but very few are willing to make long-term, high-risk bets when they seem "stupid" in the moment.
Disclaimer: This is a historical example, not financial advice. Cryptocurrencies are volatile, and past returns do not guarantee future results, so you should always do your own research before investing.
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#بيتكوين just entered a high sensitivity zone.
The drop in the price of the share #NUPL to around 0.35 - the lowest level since 2023 - indicates that the market may have exited the zone of comfort. Unrealized profits have quickly shrunk, which always raises concerns about sentiment.
But here is the positive side:
This is the same zone where previous cycles settled before recovering. When the NUPL share price reaches this low level during an upward trend, it usually indicates the waning of excessive enthusiasm and a return of the market to a healthier state.
Wallets have become closer to neut

The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (#CFTC ) has approved spot trading of cryptocurrencies in the United States 🚀
For the first time, it is now possible to trade spot cryptocurrencies, such as #Bitcoin and #Ethereum , on US exchanges regulated at the federal level.
Acting Chair Caroline Pham described this decision as "historic," as it provides strong protection and integrates digital currencies into the regulated financial system.
This represents a major step toward clarity, oversight, and mainstream legitimacy for digital assets.
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#Bitcoin : A familiar aftershock before the collapse
#بيتكوين may repeat a classic scenario:
1. A sharp drop that shakes retail traders and liquidates leveraged traders
2. An intense feeling of fear
3. Followed by a sharp reversal that could break previous all-time highs at a less expected time
Will history repeat itself? 🤔
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