$ETH 4-Hour Cycle Direct Trading Instructions List
1. Core Premises and Principles
- Applicable Cycle: 4-hour swing, holding positions for 1-3 days, leverage strictly controlled at 1-5x, no high leverage above 10x
- Total Position Red Line: No more than 50% of total holdings in a single coin, only use 20% of investable funds, profits and losses are your own responsibility
- Stop-Loss Ironclad Rule: All orders must include a stop-loss; if losses exceed 5%, forced reduction; never hold through a loss
2. Scenario-Based Execution Instructions
Scenario 1: Currently Holding Long (Cost 2050-2080 USDT)
1. Current price 2096 USDT, retain 70% of base position, set stop-loss at 2030 USDT, unconditional liquidation if broken
2. Price reaches 2120-2130 USDT first resistance level, take profit on 30% of position, lock in partial profit
3. Price rises to 2190-2200 USDT second strong resistance level, take profit on remaining 40% of position, exit completely
4. If price retraces to 2050-2060 USDT and MACD and KDJ show no death cross, add 20% to position, total position not exceeding 50%, set stop-loss at 2030 USDT
Scenario 2: No Position, Waiting to Enter (Main Long, Auxiliary Short)
Main Long Strategy $ETH
1. First Entry on Dip: Price falls back to 2050-2060 USDT range, build 30% position, stop-loss at 2020 USDT, first take profit at 2120 USDT, second at 2190-2200 USDT
2. Second Breakout Entry: Price stabilizes at 2125-2135 USDT (breaks previous 24h high), build 20% position, stop-loss at 2100 USDT, first take profit at 2190 USDT, second at 2250 USDT
Secondary Short Strategy (Strictly Short-Term Play, Light Positions) $ETH
1. First Short Attempt: Price reaches 2120-2130 USDT, build 10%-15% position, stop-loss at 2150 USDT, take profit at 2070-2080 USDT, close at target
2. Second Short Attempt: Price reaches 2190-2200 USDT, build 15% position, stop-loss at 2220 USDT, take profit at 2130-2140 USDT, close at target
Scenario 3: Holding Short (Countertrend Position)
1. Current price 2096 USDT, if position exceeds 20%, immediately reduce to below 10% to avoid liquidation risk
2. Move stop-loss up to 2130 USDT, if price breaks above 2130 USDT, liquidate all positions unconditionally
3. Price retraces to 2070-2080 USDT range, take profit on all positions and exit, avoid fighting the trend
3. Trend Alerts and Emergency Operations
Bullish Continuation Signal (Hold/Add)
- Price stabilizes above the upper Bollinger Band at 2103 USDT, retests without falling below
- MACD red bars continue to enlarge, DIF line remains upward
- KDJ forms a golden cross after retracement, J line not exceeding 90 (overbought)
Bearish Reversal Signal (Immediate Take Profit/Stop Loss)
- 4-hour close below the middle Bollinger Band at 2034 USDT, fully liquidate
- MACD red bars rapidly shorten, DIF crosses below DEA forming a death cross, exit all positions
- KDJ forms a death cross at high levels, J line quickly falls below 50, exit all positions
- Trading volume sharply decreases, upward momentum weak, take profits in batches
4. Operation Time References
- Best Operation Window: Before 4-hour candle closes (Beijing Time 4:00, 8:00, 12:00, 16:00, 20:00, 24:00)
- Prohibited Operation Windows: Around major macro data releases such as Federal Reserve rate decisions, Non-Farm Payrolls
- Daily Review Time: 16:00 daily after 4-hour candle closes, review indicators and holdings, adjust next day’s plan
