US September ADP Employment: Unexpected Decline

Automatic Data Processing, Inc. (ADP) released the US September ADP Employment Report on October 1, 2025. The actual figure was a decrease of 32,000 jobs, compared to the forecast of an increase of 50,000 and the previous reading of 54,000.Commonly referred to as the “mini nonfarm payrolls,” this monthly indicator tracks changes in US private sector nonfarm employment, based on data from approximately 500,000 anonymous businesses. The report is influential: a reading above expectations typically supports the US economy and strengthens the dollar, while a lower-than-expected figure may put pressure on non-dollar currencies.The importance level of this data is rated at 4. The methodology estimates monthly employment changes, excluding agricultural and government workers. The report is published monthly, on the first Wednesday; the next release is scheduled for November 5, 2025.

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