Trading review | Use the larger cycle to determine the direction, use the smaller cycle to find buy points, and refuse to be overwhelmed by 1-minute noise 📊
4-hour level: From the low of 1906.63, the price has been steadily rising, forming a standard "decline - consolidation - rally" structure in the "Chen Theory." Currently, the price is firmly above the midline of the central zone at 2104.49, indicating that the long-term bullish trend is intact. The previous pullback was just a normal correction within the main upward wave.
1-hour level: After completing the yellow central zone, the price broke through directly, showing a strong upward structure. The previous high of 2167.20 is the next target for the bulls. Short-term pullbacks are just shakeouts, not reversals.
15-minute level: Perfectly confirms the judgment of the larger cycle. After the price retraced to the upper boundary of the central zone, it quickly stabilized. The bullish momentum is fully supported. The fluctuations on the 1-minute chart are just minor noise in the context of the larger cycle.
The upcoming rhythm is very clear: ✅ patiently wait for the pullback to the strong support at 2105-2110, try small positions for error correction ✅ strictly set stop-loss at 2100, accept small losses only, never large losses ✅.
In trading, slow is fast, steady is winning. Don’t chase every profit on each candle, only earn within your understanding, leave the rest to time.
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Let’s analyze the structure directly: ETH/USDT multi-cycle structure deep analysis (Chen Theory perspective)
1. 4-hour level (Major trend direction)
1. Core structure
Trend qualitative: Clear large-scale bullish upward trend, starting from the historical low of 1906.63, completing the standard Chen Theory structure of "decline - consolidation - rally."
Central zone structure: The blue box marks the 4-hour upward central zone, approximately 2080-2140. After the central zone was completed, the price started a main upward wave from around 2020, reaching a high of 2385.78, breaking through the central zone.
Current position: After retracing from the high of 2385.78, in the upward trend from 1906.63 to 2385.78, the price made a secondary bottom at 1940.00, then started a new rebound. The current price is 2129.90, firmly above the middle line of the central zone at 2104.49, confirming the upward trend’s central zone support. The large-scale bullish structure remains fully intact.
2. Key levels
Strong support: 2104.49 (upper boundary of the central zone, the bulls’ lifeline; only a significant break would change the trend)
Resistance: 2160-2180 (near previous high, selling pressure zone), 2385.78 (historical high)
2. 1-hour level (Medium cycle to set rhythm)
1. Core structure
Trend qualitative: A secondary upward structure within the 4-hour bullish trend, starting from the low of 1936.54, perfectly supporting the 4-hour rebound.
Central zone structure: The yellow box marks the 1-hour upward central zone, approximately 2000-2070. After completing the central zone, the price broke through the upper boundary directly, showing a strong main upward wave, reaching a high of 2167.20.
Current position: The price retraced from 2167.20, currently at 2128.33, which is a normal correction after the 1-hour main upward wave. The correction did not break below the upper boundary of the central zone at 2104.49, so the bullish trend continues. The current phase is "uptrend - correction - stabilization."
2. Key levels
Strong support: 2104.49 (resonates with the 4-hour level’s upper boundary, core support)
Secondary support: 2120-2125 (golden ratio retracement of this correction, short-term support)
Resistance: 2167.20 (previous high on the 1-hour chart, breaking through opens a new upward space)
3. Multi-cycle linkage conclusion (core trading logic)
The major direction is fully aligned: both the 4-hour and 1-hour levels are in bullish structures. All current pullbacks are normal shakeouts within the upward trend, not trend reversals, effectively eliminating noise from 1-minute candles.
Resonance support is clear: 2104.49 is the resonance point of the 4-hour and 1-hour central zone upper boundary, the core lifeline of this rally. As long as it is not broken, the large-scale bullish trend remains unchanged.
Current trend qualitative: The price, under the large-scale bullish trend, has completed a healthy correction after the main upward wave. It is now in the central zone retest phase with sufficient support below, likely to continue upward and challenge previous highs.
4. Structural evolution and trading responses
1. Optimistic evolution (high probability)
Price stabilizes above 2104.49, forming a 1-hour triple buy, breaking through the previous high of 2167.20, starting a new main upward wave, targeting 2200-2250.
Response: Light long positions on pullback to 2105-2110, stop-loss at 2100, targets at 2160 and 2200.
2. Neutral evolution
Price oscillates between 2100-2160, forming a new 1-hour central zone, then choosing a direction after completion.
Response: Buy near the lower boundary at 2110, sell near the upper boundary at 2150, trade within the central zone, with strict stop-loss.
3. Pessimistic evolution (low probability)
Effective break below 2104.49 upper boundary of the central zone, divergence in the 4-hour upward trend, entering a large-scale correction.
Response: Immediately close positions and wait for new structure formation, avoid counter-trend operations.
5. Core summary
Major trend direction: The 4-hour and 1-hour bullish structures are intact. All current fluctuations are normal shakeouts within the upward trend. The overall outlook remains bullish.
Finding buy points on smaller cycles: Use 1-minute candles only for precise entries, not for trend judgment, to avoid being overwhelmed by noise.
Risk control is key: Use 2104.49 as the lifeline, strictly implement stop-loss, accept small losses only, never large losses, and manage positions to handle volatility.
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