The Fed is about to enter a quiet period, and CITIC Securities maintains its expectation for a rate cut in December.According to a report by Jin10 on November 24, Citic Securities' research report states that New York Fed President Williams hinted at further rate cuts in December, reversing market expectations for a rate cut, with the market currently believing there is a 70% chance the Fed will cut rates in December. The Fed will enter its quiet period starting November 29, and before this period, Powell has no scheduled public speeches or media interviews. Williams, a "close ally" of Powell, may have delivered the last comments from a Fed official that could influence market expectations. We maintain our previous view that December may be a "close call" for a rate cut of 25bps. For the market, the reversal of rate cut expectations, combined with the advancement of the "28-point" plan and the Trump administration's consideration of exporting H200 chips to China, means that macro factors are no longer a source of market pressure in the short term, and the market may focus more on AI companies issuing bonds and the trends in Crypto Assets.
DeepFlowTech·46m ago