RawlalGaib

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Another Thursday in the markets another sell off right after FOMC, but I wouldn’t be too scared because we already knew this will happen, with the SPX making new lower lows and lower highs until the market finds another break of structure, so stocks were a no touch for me and they still are.
On crypto ETH reached 2,400 one of my LTF targets from which we saw a correction back to around 2,100 the level we initially broke out from, bitcoin is slightly weaker than ETH i feel like, and as long as we are under 70,500–70,800 sellers are in control and we can revisit lower levels, especially given th
ETH-3,38%
BTC-3%
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Well, I think the market can move higher since a rally seems to be programmed until around June 17 and something is telling me that high cap altcoins are the ones likely to perform in this window, similar to how ETH performed in previous years after April into August.
However the timeline is getting tighter and tighter, which means we’re getting closer to the phase where every lower cap start moving. In past years, we started with BTC, last year ETH had a big rally from 1,400 to 5,000 and now following the risk curve on crypto it should be high caps leading until around June 17.
For example:
S
ETH-3,38%
BTC-3%
SOL-1,61%
HYPE-4,72%
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Report question: How high do you think oil prices will go? jeeeez when I hear these dumb questions I just want to go there and ask my own, it’s not like he’s going to say "Yes go long because it will go higher" holy clankers
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A small observation about the Fed cuts and CPI: inflation data came in lower after the bear market in 2022 followed by a bull market that is still ongoing today, after inflation dropped sharply again the Fed started cutting rates for the first time around August 2024 through December 2024, since then the trend in inflation has continued to move lower printing lower lows and lower highs.
A new low was reached in April when Trump pushed the tariffs narrative, which I believe was intended to create market panic and delay Fed decisions & stimulate consumers. At each FOMC conference the Fed kept re
ETH-3,38%
BTC-3%
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As bullish as I am on Bitcoin someone who has nothing to do with crypto told me that Bitcoin is bullish and was trying to teach me about it—while we spotted the bottom on the dot last month🤣
BTC-3%
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I’ve saved a few posts from people I once thought were good, or at least had some idea of what they were talking about, but it turns out they weren’t, because I’ve even seen posts directly saying “don’t buy, it will go lower”
Well that “lower” is now up about 30% on ETH, 20% on BTC, with altcoins following suit. So no matter if you’re an investor, a trader, or a clanker, you should have been positioned accordingly—not misleading your followers into missing gains no matter how small they are.
Instead many kept saying the market would go lower for the past months leading their followers to short
ETH-3,38%
BTC-3%
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Let’s play a game called “Spotting the Intruder”, the FED independence vs Trump manipulation techniques.
Starting from the beginning, we had the Fed cutting rates in August 2024 for the first time while the market was printing a small local bottom and with cheaper money available for the first time, liquidity started flowing into the market pushing it further up.
Then in December 2024 the Fed decided to pause the rate cuts keeping them neutral, and shortly after market formed what you could call a distribution phase or a local top.
Seeing that the Fed didn’t want to continue cutting rates, Tru
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Timeline shift
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a relaxing Sunday for a big market update, take a read
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The only curiosity I have right now about the markets is how they will react once they realize that the possibility of a soft landing is on the table.
Under current market conditions, the market is reacting as if a recession is about to hit: oil is pumping, the VIX is rising, the DXY as well and the stock market is dumping.
So the timeline for when this can happen is actually from now until the end of the month, or at most early April (give it 1/2 weeks after FOMC), and if nothing breaks during this tight window then my belief is that the market will start pricing in a soft landing until EOY t
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if we survive until the end of month we’re free to go, take a read
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If I say that the local bottom for ETH is already in nobody would believe it, anyways, structurally a reclaim of 2,100 with a nice weekly close would likely generate a market rally into the summer, back to 2,800–3,000. At that point, the market will decide whether the 4-year cycle is still in play or not.
The majority already know my take and I don’t think the 4-year cycle exists anymore. For now however the market still looks like it does, simply because price action has played out so far like a normal cycle, yet we will find out in the summer once we reach 2,800–3,000, from there we will see
ETH-3,38%
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BubbleGum_vip:
Good luck and prosperity 🧧
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Wondering what’s going to happen with Trump Coin if he’s going to fold soon, and the price is kinda telling us this story ahead of time, price lower RSI higher, something is being cooked underneath. If this garbage reclaims 3.5–3.8 the market will be ready to see at least a minimum rally for the next 2–3 months
TRUMP-3,29%
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Is nobody actually seeing that crypto is already far ahead of the risk curve? While the SPX formed this Wyckoff distribution into a final move at the BOS, at the same time Bitcoin made its low in early February, and ince then even with the conflict ongoing the most impacted market has been the stock market, while Bitcoin — together with crypto as a whole has been in an accumulation phase.
Price is telling you this, Bitcoin is holding higher lows while the SPX keeps making lower lows, to me this personally looks like one of the best and strongest reversals we could see from crypto once risk-on
BTC-3%
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Coincidence? Not at all—place your bets
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you know something is about to go down when it looks like this
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I will never doubt God ever again. This is the first time I’m thankful for not being rich enough to live in Dubai where most rich people are. If altseason had happened one or two years ago the number of people there would have doubled or tripled especially now during winter, when people travel or even move because of better conditions. So you or me or anyone else reading this could have been there right now. I’m really thankful the market didn’t give us an altseason
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Take a read at this post from two days ago "this is just a drama"
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Trrgervip:
What about $Vai
I talked to someone today from my community who lives in the Gulf near Bahrain, and now I see that they are even attacking civilian buildings, this is no joke guys. If you’re from that area stay safe
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War experts at its finest on Polymarket
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