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The Court Ordered the US to Pay: The Court Strikes a Blow to US Tariff Policy
The market received an important macro signal that many are underestimating.
According to Bloomberg, Trump's administration's attempt to delay the resolution of trade tariff compensation failed.
The court denied the US time to find bypass solutions.
📉 What does this mean in simple terms
Now the process looks like this:
▪️ The US is obliged to move towards restoring damages caused by tariffs
▪️ Delaying the process is prohibited
▪️ Pressure on trade policy is increasing
In fact — the legal system limits the ability t
BTC5,64%
ETH5,97%
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Global debt has exploded to $348 trillion — why this is a key signal for BTC
Recent data from The Kobeissi Letter reveal what the market almost doesn't talk about — the global financial system is rapidly moving into debt dependence.
And this is directly related to the future of the crypto market.
🌍 What happened
In 2025, global debt increased by +$29 trillion —
the largest annual growth since the pandemic of 2020.
📊 Total global debt: $348 trillion ( all-time high)
Growth structure:
▪️ Governments: +$10 trillion
▪️ 75% of the growth — USA, China, and the Eurozone
▪️ Global government deb
BTC5,64%
GT2,61%
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#FOMC‬⁩ #CPI #USACryptoTrends $BTC $GT
We have released some of the most important macro data for all markets — PPI (producer inflation). And the numbers turned out worse than expected. Let’s analyze what this means for crypto, the stock market, and BTC.
📊 Actual PPI data (January) Producer Price Index (YoY):▪️ Actual: 2.9%▪️ Forecast: 2.6%▪️ Previous: 3.0%PPI (MoM):▪️ Actual: 0.5%▪️ Forecast: 0.3%Core PPI (MoM):▪️ Actual: 0.8%▪️ Forecast: 0.3% ⚠️Core PPI (YoY):▪️ Actual: 3.6%▪️ Forecast: 3.0%
👉 The main issue — core inflation is significantly higher than expectations.⚠️ Why this is critic
BTC5,64%
GT2,61%
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⚠️ THE MARKET HAS CLEARED OUT THE SHAKERS. 99% OF NEW INVESTORS ARE IN LOSS — WHAT DOES THIS MEAN FOR BTC
Currently, one of the most important phases of the cycle is forming, which most participants misunderstand.
Let's analyze the facts.
📉 1️⃣ Massive Margin Cleansing
Current BTC Open Interest: $44.8 billion
This is approximately –55% from the October 2025 peak.
What does this mean:
✅ The market is shedding overloaded leverage
✅ The number of forced liquidations is decreasing
✅ Price is once again starting to depend on real spot demand
Historically:
Major drops in Open Interest almost always
BTC5,64%
ETH5,97%
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🚨 BTC AGAINST GOLD AT A HISTORIC LOW. LTH BROKEN. MARKET IN LOSS MODE
Several metrics indicate a deep phase of pressure.
📉 1️⃣ BTC / Gold — historic weakness
The weekly RSI of the BTC to gold pair has dropped to an all-time low.
Lower than:
— FTX collapse
— 2020 crash
— 2018 bear market
This indicates record relative weakness of BTC compared to the safe-haven asset.
2️⃣ Long-term Holders' Level Broken
According to On-Chain College:
BTC has broken the realized price of long-term holders — ~$65.7k
and is now trying to regain this level.
Historically, holding below the LTH level often led to de
BTC5,64%
ETH5,97%
GT2,61%
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America yesterday transitioned into a phase of gradual selling from these levels. Wait for the American market to open very soon. I closed my long position earlier; you might consider taking partial profits✅ #bitcoin #americatrends $BTC
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🚨 INSTITUTIONAL SELLING REACHED A RECORD HIGH. BUT LTH IS GATHERING AGAIN
The BTC market is in a contradictory phase: aggressive selling by funds and simultaneous strengthening of long-term accumulation.
📉 1️⃣ The Most Aggressive Institutional Sell-Off
According to Charles Edwards, last week saw the largest net BTC sell-off by institutions in recorded history.
This increases short-term pressure and explains the weak price dynamics.
Institutional flow now is a risk factor.
🧱 2️⃣ Long-term Holders (LTH) Are Changing Behavior
Since November 23, the LTH supply has increased by +400,000 BTC.
Tha
BTC5,64%
GT2,61%
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The #BTC market is entering a zone of structural pressure where on-chain and institutional signals converge.
📉1️⃣ Major players increase inflow to exchanges According to #CryptoQuant : The exchange ratio of major players reached 0.64 — the highest since 2015. This means that the top 10 wallets account for 64% of BTC inflow to exchanges. Historically, this indicator signals potential supply pressure. 🏦 2️⃣ Hedge funds reduce BTC-ETF positions According to MacroMicro ( citing CF Benchmarks ): In Q4 2025, hedge funds reduced their BTC-ETF positions by 28% quarter-over-quarter. Reasons include:
BTC5,64%
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🚨 BTC AT THE EDGE: LTH LEVEL, 60K AND THE "DEATH CROSS"
The market has approached a zone where several critical metrics converge.
📊 1️⃣ Real Price of Long-Term Holders — $65 680
The average cost basis for those holding BTC for 155+ days is currently around $65 680.
This is the so-called Realized Price LTH — a historically strong balance level.
When the price is above → long-term holders are in profit.
When below → pressure and redistribution begin.
We are trading right at this boundary.
📉 2️⃣ Volatility is decreasing, the trend is weakening
According to SeerQuant:
— Volatility is declining
BTC5,64%
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