Bugsbunnygg

bubbleseek Small Group Summary
The space concept is a future direction and will be a major hype point before June ($NASA Space ETF)
$RKLB $ASTS $PL $SATS is a key focus selected
There are employment data releases on Friday. Currently judging as fake data; real employment data is poor.
After the Iran situation is resolved, gold remains the main safe-haven asset.
For those interested in speculation, you can observe $SQ
Currently, SPX 6625 has a massive liquidity buildup, making it difficult to break through.
Pay attention to aluminum-related companies like AA.
Aluminum and silver have a certai

Currently, the projects being pumped have a chip concentration conservatively estimated to be over 95%.

SPY's positive gamma exposure at the $660 level increases, becoming the largest trading volume center.
The current price is $656.

$SPY SPY Data from the past 5 years shows that the average return in April is -1.35%, making it the second-worst month of the year, only better than September.
But I think this time is different.

Nasdaq opened higher.
If the petrodollar returns, which assets are more likely to attract capital inflows?

If the Strait of Hormuz resumes normalcy, then leading tech stocks and chip stocks can start to play again.
Is the return of the petrodollar happening?

Actually, many crypto projects have already gone offline.
The number of tokens delisted from CEX will only increase.

Institutions believe that hedging is insufficient to cope with the current situation and are selling off stocks (still declining this week).

Since the Federal Reserve paused its balance sheet reduction in December, it has started expanding the balance sheet again.
It increases by $40 billion each month, exceeding the scale during the COVID stimulus period.

Some reversal signals (not personal opinions)
The Nasdaq 100 Index has been below its all-time high for 100 consecutive trading days, the longest period of decline since 2023, but it has fallen less than 10% from its peak; historically, after five similar patterns, the index has risen 100% within 12 months, with an average increase of 17%. Historical patterns suggest that tech stocks may be poised for a recovery.

The biggest problem in the crypto space is the excessively high debt issue when projects go live.
This forces projects to quickly recoup funds by selling tokens or manipulating the market after listing, in order to repay the debt.
It's time to make a change.

The US stock market is also facing a historic downside risk.
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$SPY From the current price all the way down to the 640 strike price, there is a buildup of billions of dollars in negative GEX (negative gamma exposure).

META today faced a large-scale bearish options bet, with the underlying stock dropping over 7%, and market sentiment clearly bearish.
$META
net bought $19 million worth of put options and net sold $20 million worth of call options (overall bearish), with the stock falling more than 7%.
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Jewish companies, just die early. Please.

Trump's chances of losing are appearing
The Democratic Party won all the early elections

24-Hour Major Macro Events (Updated 21:00)
1. U.S. military launches large-scale strikes against Iran, destroying over 9,000 targets and 140 ships, with operations ahead of schedule (10/10)
2. Israel conducts multiple airstrikes on Tehran, Netanyahu orders full destruction of Iran's weapons industry within 48 hours (10/10)
3. Iran launches multiple missile rounds at Israel, targeting Dimona nuclear facility and Tel Aviv, some missiles not intercepted (10/10)
4. Iran has laid mines in the Strait of Hormuz, with about a dozen mines discovered, threatening 20% of global oil transportation routes

Bubbleseek 24-Hour Stock News Summary:
1. $TSEM Benchmark maintains a TSEM buy rating, with the target price raised to $230, supported by strong EPS growth expectations and the PEG valuation model.
2. $KTOS Shield AI completes a $2 billion Series G funding round, with a valuation of $12.7 billion, doubling compared to a year ago. The lead investors are Advent International and JPMorgan, who also announced the acquisition of flight simulation company Aechelon Technology.
3. $IEP Media review of Carl Icahn's historical anecdotes: due to an inability to clarify responsibilities of employees on 12

Important Information
U.S. Treasury Bonds Face Historic Pressure

[流泪] Why do people who say the wrong things all die of heart attacks?

Truce regarding the repricing of risk assets is an opportunity
Gold, oil, cryptocurrency, and tech stocks will all be repriced to varying degrees
Gold will reverse its decline and move upward
Oil will return to normal range
Tech stocks will receive fresh capital inflows from the Middle East
Cryptocurrency will experience liquidity spillover