#数字资产市场动态 The US labor market remains resilient—initial jobless claims for the week ending January 10 fell to 198,000, again below market expectations. However, behind this strong employment data, Federal Reserve's Smith has poured cold water, stating that maintaining interest rates at restrictive levels in the short term is unlikely to resolve the stubborn structural imbalances in the labor market, which means the path to rate cuts remains fraught with difficulties.



On the exchange side, actions are frequent. CME is about to launch a 24/7 electronic trading service for crypto options and futures, which is undoubtedly good news for institutional investors eager for round-the-clock risk hedging. However, global regulatory tightening is also underway—Russia's central bank is planning new regulations requiring banks to report client crypto trading details, while Indian platforms are urgently calling on authorities to reassess crypto tax policies ahead of the February budget announcement. These all reflect an upgrade in countries' attitudes toward on-chain asset regulation.

Another industry worth noting is AI chips. The latest report indicates that by 2026, semiconductor industry revenue is expected to surpass the $1 trillion mark for the first time, with strong demand driven by AI becoming the core engine of this growth. Macro, regulation, and industry are moving in unison, and the crypto market is at a critical juncture of transitioning between old and new cycles.
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OffchainWinnervip
· 01-19 00:30
A rate cut is nowhere in sight, but CME's 24-hour trading has gone live, and that's the real positive news... Russia and India are starting to scrutinize bank accounts, and regulators are sharpening their knives faster and faster. Institutions are probably doing the math. AI chips have surpassed one trillion, is this cycle really coming? I feel like I'm witnessing history, yet at the same time, I feel like I haven't grasped anything.
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EyeOfTheTokenStormvip
· 01-18 11:10
Interest rate cuts won't come that quickly; don't be fooled by employment data. Once regulation tightens, institutional arbitrage opportunities will disappear, and CME's recent moves don't matter. AI chips worth 1 trillion? Let's see if they can truly drive on-chain demand first. Wait, could this be a sign of a bottoming? My quantitative model is a bit confused. Breaking 1 trillion in 2026, is it too early to get on board now?
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MidnightTradervip
· 01-16 03:19
The path to interest rate cuts is still far away, but the CME Group's 24-hour trading session is truly impressive. Institutions can finally hedge properly, and this is what we should be paying attention to.
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BearHuggervip
· 01-16 03:19
Interest rate cuts are nowhere in sight, but institutions are hedging within 24 hours... This wave of market movement will last for three years' worth of gains.
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HallucinationGrowervip
· 01-16 03:04
With interest rate cuts nowhere in sight, the CME 24-hour trading has arrived... Are institutions getting addicted? However, the regulatory crackdown in Russia and India is happening so quickly, it feels like life on the chain is becoming increasingly difficult.
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ChainSherlockGirlvip
· 01-16 02:55
Schmidt, this guy is really good at playing the game. The data looks fantastic, and then he turns around and says "structural imbalance." It really suggests that interest rate cuts are far off. Based on my analysis, this is a reassurance for the crypto circle—macro uncertainty means we rely on CME's 24-hour trading to hold us up. Let's wait and see how institutions rush in.
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