Market fluctuations are a matter of probability; no one can predict accurately. For example, when BTC shows oversold conditions on a 4-hour chart, will it drop or sideways? It's uncertain. But that's not the main point; the key is that you can't make money just by guessing the right direction.

Traders who truly survive understand one principle: it's not about being smarter than others, but about finding that slight edge in probability through repeated trades and then consistently reproducing it.

What is the key? Risk management. Many strategies are actually fine, and their logic is sound, but why do they still end up losing? Because the account can't withstand the volatility in the early stages, and before the strategy can prove itself, the capital is already exhausted. It requires enough time to accumulate and sufficient capital to bear the uncertainties of each trade. Without risk management as a safeguard, even the best ideas are just empty talk.