Kurumsal Analiz: Sam Kuralları Tetiklense Bile Korkulacak Bir Şey Değil

Gold ten data, August 2nd news, if the US unemployment rate in July reaches 4.2% or higher (market expectations are 4.1%), we may hear a lot of comments about triggering the Sam rule. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell has downplayed the importance of this rule, which is wise because the Sam rule is an economic indicator, not an investment guide. The rule has a lag. In almost every economic recession, it is triggered after the recession has already begun. By that time, most of the stock market decline has already occurred. Selling stocks when the Sam rule is triggered is equivalent to selling at the bottom. Unless subsequent data is significantly revised downward, it is unlikely that the United States is currently in a recession. Even if the Sam rule is triggered, it is not sufficient or necessary signal for an economic recession, especially in the current unusual economic cycle.