I've seen too many people playing with fire in contracts—placing orders based on feelings, relying on luck for stop-losses, and ultimately having their accounts wiped out. To be honest, I was also cut for 8 million, falling from a peak to a trough, and only then did I truly understand a principle: contract trading is not gambling, but a game of probabilities.

The method I want to share today may not be "exciting" enough, but it can really help you survive longer.

**Follow the rhythm of smart money**

The market always leaves traces. My daily routine is simple: watch the top 50 coins by trading volume, and any that have fallen for more than 3 days straight are directly skipped. Why? Because coins that are rising sharply are definitely supported by big funds, but if it's a rebound after hitting the floor, nine times out of ten it's just a trap to lure you in.

A detail that must be emphasized: only trade coins where the monthly MACD is in a golden cross. The monthly chart represents the big picture; a golden cross indicates that the main players are positioning. No matter how much short-term volatility there is, the trend won't change. An example from the end of last year is SOL—after the monthly MACD golden cross, even if the daily chart dropped 20%, it still went on to double in value.

**Entry strategy: be patient, wait for the right moment**

I never chase high with full positions. The method is: when the price pulls back from a high to near the 60-day moving average on the daily chart, and there's a volume surge with a bullish candle, then I act.

The logic isn't complicated: the 60-day moving average is the mid-term lifeline; when big players defend the market, they will definitely hold this line. A volume spike indicates big funds are bottom-fishing, and following in at this point means picking up bargains. Set your stop-loss 2% below the moving average.

**Layered take-profit, always prioritize stop-loss over profit**

I never aim to wipe out all profits. The usual approach is: when the price rises 20%, take half; if it continues to rise to 50%, take another half; only then do I truly gamble on the remaining position. What's the benefit of this? Even if there's a crash later, you've already broken even or even made a profit. The mindset is completely different.

The biggest fear isn't losing money, but chaos. Set your stop-loss properly and follow the rules—no matter how painful, stick to it. I've seen too many people lose their entire accounts because they couldn't bear to cut losses on that small amount.

**Practical summary**

Coin selection: monthly MACD golden cross + active trading volume + no continuous drops
Entry: near the 60-day moving average + volume surge bullish candle
Risk control: 2% stop-loss + layered take-profit

This method may not sound sexy, but I've used it to survive for many years, and I've seen many people turn their fortunes around with this approach. Contract trading is like that—you want to get rich overnight, you'll die faster; the more conservative you are, the longer you'll live.