07:23
Former Chairman of Morgan Stanley Asia: The Fed is concerned about the shift in risks, and the U.S. stock market may see a correction.
According to Jinse Finance, when discussing expectations for interest rate cuts, Stephen Roach, a senior researcher at Yale University and former chairman of Morgan Stanley Asia, pointed out that the Fed will not be rushed to adjust its policy due to political pressure. On the other hand, the vulnerability of the labor market, coupled with the disturbances caused by tariffs, may prompt the Fed to shift to a more accommodative stance. Although the current risks have changed, the extent is not yet severe, and future developments will still depend on the performance of future data. Roach also stated that the U.S. economy has shown signs of slowing down, with consumption growth only half of the average level of the past few years. In addition, the investment boom in the AI sector hides bubble risks, with the market capitalization concentration of the "Seven Giants" in U.S. stocks even exceeding the levels during the internet bubble of 2000. "Therefore, I believe that there is a high likelihood of some degree of market correction in U.S. stocks within the next six months," he said. (21st Century Business Herald)