Germany's July seasonally adjusted manufacturing orders month-on-month

After two years of navigating the Crypto Assets market, I have risen from a starting capital of $1,000 to $1 million. This is not due to luck or talent, but through adhering to a simple yet effective trading method. The core of this method lies in four key steps, each executed based on logic and strict discipline: 1. Filter strong coins: Focus on the top 30 coins by rise in the last 11 days, but be alert for cases where there has been a continuous decline for more than 3 days, as this often indicates that funds have already withdrawn. 2. Using the monthly MACD indicator: Focus only on the coins that experience the first pullback after a golden cross on the monthly MACD but do not break the level, as this often indicates the beginning of a new trend. 3. Daily 60-day moving average buy point confirmation: When the price retraces near the 60-day moving average, wait for a strong bullish candle or a long lower shadow to enter the market, which can reduce risk. 4. Strict risk control: use the 60-day moving average as the stop-loss point. Once it is breached, exit decisively, leaving no room for any illusions. In terms of profit management, I adopted a step-by-step profit locking strategy: when profits rise by 30%, I reduce my position by 1/3 to recover the principal, and when profits rise by 50%, I further reduce my position by 1/3 to lock in profits. Although this method may miss some extreme market conditions, it can effectively protect the profits already gained. The reason this trading system is effective is that it does not rely on guessing or insider information, but instead focuses on following the movements of large funds and major trends, while strictly implementing risk control. It taught me that in the Crypto Assets market, success depends more on execution than on IQ. By adhering to this 'dumb method', I can achieve stable returns of 3%-10% daily. This method may seem unremarkable, but it is precisely this simple and disciplined strategy that allows me to maintain profitability in a highly volatile market over the long term. For those who wish to achieve long-term success in the Crypto Assets market, I sincerely advise: focus on execution, stick to discipline, as this is the key to ultimately laughing last.

Tonight from 20:15 to 20:30, US employment data will become a decisive factor for the Crypto Assets market. The ADP employment numbers and initial unemployment claims data will directly influence market direction. If the data is weak, the dollar may come under pressure, and Bitcoin is expected to experience a big pump; conversely, funds may flow back to traditional markets, and the Crypto Assets market may suffer. However, surface data may be misleading. ADP data may be affected by layoffs in the tech industry, while the retail and healthcare sectors continue to hire. The true situation of initial unemployment claims may be more severe than the surface numbers suggest. In addition, the trade deficit rose to 103.6 billion in July, putting tremendous pressure on the dollar, as funds are seeking an exit. Market sentiment has reached a boiling point, waiting for the data to be revealed. The basic logic is: weak data may trigger expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut, driving funds into the crypto assets market; strong data could lead to a return of the dollar, squeezing the crypto assets market. However, caution is needed against false breakouts; the true market direction should be based on trading volume. Short-term investors should wait for the first wave of big fluctuations after the data is released before making decisions. Steady investors should set stop losses and build positions in batches. Professional investors will pay attention to divergences between data and on-chain activities, such as changes in active Ethereum addresses and Gas fees, which may reveal potential investment opportunities. Tonight's market fluctuations may bring huge opportunities or risks, with no middle ground. Investors need to pay close attention, reasonably grasp the timing of entry and exit points, and carefully choose strong coins. At this critical moment, the correct execution of strategy will be the key factor in determining success or failure.

Recently, the WLFI Token has experienced a fierce price fluctuation. The initial hot performance boosted market sentiment, but the subsequent price drop raised concerns among investors. However, upon closer examination of the underlying data, we can still find some positive signals. Despite WLFI dropping about 60% from its peak, with the current price around $0.18, its market fundamentals still show a certain level of resilience. Firstly, based on the current circulation, WLFI's market cap remains around $4.5 billion, indicating a considerable market size. Secondly, the 24-hour trading volume can reach the level of $1 billion, reflecting the market's ongoing attention and active trading of this coin. It is worth noting that the Trump family holds 2.25 billion WLFI, which is still worth billions of dollars even at the current price. This large-scale holding may have a stabilizing effect on the market. In the long run, the DeFi ecosystem behind WLFI, including the USD1 stablecoin and governance mechanisms, provides it with more development possibilities. This is not just a project that relies solely on speculation, but has the potential to build a complete decentralized financial ecosystem. For investors, the current market environment requires a more cautious and rational response strategy. In the short term, avoiding chasing highs or panic selling is a wise choice. Instead, it may be worth considering gradually building positions when prices are lower. At the same time, paying attention to indicators such as community activity, governance participation rate, and the usage of USD1 stablecoin may help better assess the development prospects of the project. In the long term, if WLFI can successfully transform its unique background and resource advantages into actual ecosystem development, it may create a market trend independent of the overall market. However, considering the high-risk nature of the cryptocurrency market, investors still need to remain vigilant and avoid overly concentrated investments. In the current market environment, staying calm, analyzing data rationally, and having sufficient patience may be the best strategy to cope with the WLFI price Fluctuation. The cryptocurrency market has never lacked challenges, but those investors who can withstand the test of the market may ultimately see returns.

In the blockchain field, Aptos has always attracted attention for its advanced technology. However, despite having the innovative Move language and the efficient BlockSTM parallel processing technology, Aptos seems to have not fully won the favor of the market. Currently, Aptos is facing an awkward situation. Although its technical strength is beyond doubt, the activity level of its ecosystem has failed to keep pace. The Total Value Locked (TVL) is only $970 million, far below the level that its technical potential should reach. In addition, there are controversies within the community regarding its token distribution plan, which further hinders its development. Looking back at history, we can see that Solana was also heavily questioned in its early days due to technical instability. However, with the vigorous development of its ecosystem, these early difficulties were soon forgotten. This case may provide some insights for Aptos. Recently, Aptos has indeed been very active on the technical level. However, relying solely on technological innovation is not enough. Over-marketing of transaction processing speed (TPS), a controversial token allocation plan (with a disproportionately high share for the team and investors), and a lack of killer applications are all challenges faced by Aptos. The key question now is: if the ecosystem itself is not attractive enough, can simply lowering staking rewards attract users to participate in DeFi activities? This is like a poorly run restaurant that does not improve the quality of its dishes or change chefs, but instead cancels free tea to force customers to order drinks, which is obviously an upside-down approach. For Aptos, the priority is not to continue to delve into technological innovation, but to create a narrative that can trigger ordinary users' fear of missing out (FOMO). No matter how secure the Move language is or how powerful BlockSTM is, if users cannot truly feel these advantages, then these technological innovations will be difficult to convert into actual value. Overall, Aptos needs to reassess its development strategy. While technological innovation is certainly important, how to translate these innovations into user value and how to build a thriving ecosystem are the keys to whether Aptos can stand out in the fierce Blockchain competition.

At 20:15 tonight, ADP employment data is about to be released, and the market is becoming tense again. However, the focus this time may not be on the employment data itself, but rather on the widely anticipated "rate cut". Wall Street seems to be convinced that as long as the data does not show any major surprises, the likelihood of the Fed cutting rates in September is quite high. However, the market's expectations are so high that it raises the question: does the Fed still have room to change its decision? The ADP report, although known for its unstable predictive accuracy, truly serves as a channel for market sentiment release. Regardless of whether the data is good or bad, the market always finds a positive interpretation angle: poor data? This indicates that the economy needs support through interest rate cuts; strong data? That means there is no need to worry about a recession, and interest rate cuts can be more firmly backed. Therefore, rather than overly focusing on specific values, it is better to view the ADP report as a groundwork for interest rate cut expectations. In terms of asset performance, the US dollar has shown weak recent trends, and there is insufficient upward momentum in US Treasury yields, while gold seems poised for action, seemingly waiting for clearer signals on interest rate cuts. The cryptocurrency market is also active, with Bitcoin being particularly sensitive to changes in interest rate policy; merely the expectation of easing is enough to trigger fluctuations in market sentiment. Of course, risks still exist. If the employment data is unexpectedly strong, it could trigger short-term market volatility. But this may just be a temporary emotional reaction— the direction of interest rate cuts seems to have been established. Therefore, we can conclude that there is no need to overinterpret the ADP data itself; tonight is more like a psychological game to consolidate market expectations. What investors need to do is not frequently adjust their positions, but to stick to the investment strategy they believe is correct and wait for the situation to develop. It is worth noting that the market has already taken interest rate cut expectations into account, and if the Fed suddenly changes its stance, that could become this year's biggest "black swan" event. In this uncertain market environment, it is crucial to remain vigilant and flexible.