مرحلة الحسم في مشروع قانون CLARITY: إطار تنظيم التمويل اللامركزي يصبح محور التركيز، واحتمالية التوقيع قبل مايو تصل إلى 69%

【Coin Circle】The U.S. Senate Banking Committee has entered a critical two-week window, with the finalization of the CLARITY Act becoming the focal point.

Key timeline has arrived: On January 6, both parties will hold an important coordination meeting to put DeFi regulation and the division of authority between the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) on the table. It appears the differences are quite significant — the main sticking point is how to define the regulatory nature of decentralized finance products and which of the two regulatory agencies should have the final say.

Committee Chairman Tim Scott has recently made strong statements: if both parties continue to be obstructed on these issues, he does not rule out the possibility of bypassing the Democrats and unilaterally advancing the bill. This means time is truly running short.

Based on prediction market data, the probability of this bill being signed and taking effect before May currently stands stable at 69%. Once the CLARITY Act is implemented, it means the U.S. will form clear classification standards for crypto assets. This has profound implications for the market — aside from Bitcoin and Ethereum, which are already widely recognized assets, the institutional investment space for other tokens is expected to be significantly unlocked. In other words, this is not just an update to the regulatory framework, but also a passport for institutional capital to enter Web3.