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BNB最近的走势确实有点意思。短期均线已经形成死叉,30日线压力还是挺明显的,价格每次反弹到930附近就遇到阻力,随后又回落。从表面看空头占优,但细节暴露了不少端倪——缩量回调本身就说明抛盘力度在衰竭。
前面跌到923.95之后的反弹虽然没什么动能,但这恰好验证了下方确实有支撑在。价格反复在930这个位置碰壁,与其说是坏事,不如说是多头在底部积蓄力量的表现。下跌的幅度越来越小、成交量持续消退,这种局面下空头继续砸盘的空间其实有限。
从概率上讲,行情很可能在900-910这个区间完成底部确认,之后开启反弹。短线来看,可以在900-910分批进场,第一目标看925-930这个区间,如果能突破,后续可能继续攻向940附近。关键还是要看量能配合,成交量放大才能确保反弹的持续性。