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原油昨天冲上62.20后掉头下行,一路走低。下午在58.76这道支撑位被反复测试,但没有继续下破,空头动能明显衰竭。到了收盘阶段,多头开始蠢蠢欲动,为今天的反弹奠定了基础。
今天开盘延续了昨天的底部格局,震荡偏强的走势确立了日内先做多、后面再逢高调整的主基调。
基本面给了油价不少支撑。美联储那边降息预期升温,大宗商品估值随之抬升。与此同时,红海航运风险还在持续发酵,OPEC+的减产执行率维持在高位,这些因素合力为原油价格提供了底部支撑。
技术面更有意思——从超跌状态出现了企稳迹象,反弹的动能在逐步聚集,这给短期操作带来了机会。
交易思路上,布伦特原油可围绕58.8做多头,设置58.3作为防守线,先看59.7附近的阻力,如果能突破,上方还要关注60.6到61.2这片区域。