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RVV最近这波下跌行情确实值得关注。现价卡在0.003750,回看过去10根15分钟线,平均波幅才1.42%,结果第三根K线突然来了个放量中阴线,一口气跌了1.92%,波幅直接飙到3.33%——这才是问题所在。
成交量骤然放大到5800万,这说明什么?获利盘或恐慌盘在集中出逃。再看K线的实体占比,第3根达到57.6%,明显的抛压信号。后面第5根虽然出现反弹,但实体只有15.9%,多头根本撑不起来,没什么后劲。
从交易角度看,短期有两个思路。一是若跌破0.00370这条支撑,可以轻仓试空,目标看到前低0.00365,止损设在0.00382。二是反弹到0.00385-0.00390区域遇阻,这里对应前面K线4的上影线压力,此时可以反手做空。当下市场波动还在可控范围,但连续出现的小实体K线暗示方向选择已经迫在眉睫了。