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📰 市场情况(12月31日)
⭕宏观
美联储将买入约 2200 亿美元短期国债
👉 技术性操作,不是 QE
12 月已降息,但
👉 1 月再降息概率低(约 13%)
官员对 通胀粘性仍然警惕,政策偏谨慎
⭕加密
ETH:Q4 新增 870 万合约,链上活动创新高(中长期利好)
BTC:特朗普称美国将探索更多购买 BTC 的方式(偏叙事)
⭕总结与建议:虽然现在流动性不紧,但也没放水,所以市场还是偏震荡,在操作上,不追高,等结构性机会。