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预测市场已达到每周$2 十亿美元的交易量。
虽然在美国的某些州,如德克萨斯州和纽约州,仍存在监管问题,但在Polymarket、Kalshi、Limitless和Myriad等主要平台上的交易量已超过每周$2 十亿美元。
分析师将当前预测市场的状况与去中心化金融((DeFi))的早期发展阶段进行了类比。
他们表示,到2035年,预测市场的规模可能达到955亿美元,年复合增长率为47%。