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Sudden shift in the situation! The Iran nuclear crisis ignites the market—BTC surges against the trend, hiding a shocking trap?
A strange scene played out in the morning market! Iran made a tough statement that the Strait of Hormuz will never return to its pre-war condition, while the U.S. disclosed a major piece of news that the agreement to reopen the strait has been negotiated—only the negotiations are delayed—adding mysterious clues to the geopolitical situation!
Spot gold languishes, breaking through 4700; oil prices remain stable at high levels; the Nasdaq continued to hit fresh highs on Friday, but the crypto market has completely decoupled from mainstream assets—BTC shot up to 79455 and ETH pierced through 2400. This type of liquidity push that deviates from usual behavior is absolutely not healthy growth!
Looking closer at the technicals, BTC has been grinding at the 77000 level and ETH at the 2300 level for quite a while. It looks like institutional buying is stepping up, but in reality, it’s a setup to lure in more buyers! The 79455 area was repeatedly touched on the 23rd of this month; resistance from prior highs looms like a mountain, and the 80000 level is even more of a heavy, heavily fortified pressure zone—breaking through is as difficult as climbing to the sky!
Even more deadly, two major “nuclear” events are coming this week! On Tuesday, the Bank of Japan’s interest rate decision; on Thursday, a press conference by Fed Chair Powell. There is absolutely no possibility that the policy direction will deliver a one-sided positive tailwind for crypto. With bad news piling up and technical rebounds running into selling pressure, this surge against the trend clearly follows a classic playbook: the main players lure buyers, then turn around to shake out the market!
#美伊谈判陷入僵局 $BTC $ETH