#我的周末交易计划

Weekend Consolidation and Momentum Building, Potential Rally Next Week

After a volatile Friday, Bitcoin is expected to continue consolidating at lower levels this weekend. This consolidation may be accumulating strength for a rally next week. From three perspectives, the probability of "upside breakout" appears higher:

1. Reinforced Support Level: $69,778 has formed a weekly-level strong support, with three tests in the past 72 hours all met with buying interest, cumulatively absorbing over $1.2 billion in selling pressure. Within the $70,000-$71,000 trading range, trading volume is up 37% from last week's average, and increased buy-side depth validates a solid bottom.

2. Capital Inflow Reversal: The precious metals market experienced its most severe decline in a decade this week, signaling massive capital outflows. As the saying goes, "capital never sleeps"—Bitcoin, after sufficient prior adjustment, may become a value opportunity, attracting capital back to crypto.

3. Institutional Positioning Signals: The Coinbase premium index turned positive for the first time in ten weeks (+35.4), indicating U.S. institutional investors are restarting positions. This resonates with exchange BTC reserves dropping to 2.75 million (lowest since 2019), suggesting institutions and whales are beginning to accumulate.

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Tokens I'm Monitoring Recently:

1. DOGE: Community Enthusiasm Driving Technical Recovery
As a classic meme coin, DOGE has seen rising social media momentum recently. Technically, its RSI indicator is rebounding from oversold levels, showing buying pressure accumulating. Simultaneously, trading volume is moderately increasing. A breakout above recent resistance could trigger a rally. Previous DOGE dips to the $0.091 level have consistently bounced strongly, with support repeatedly confirmed. Building positions here offers favorable odds going forward.

2. SIREN: Technical Pioneer in the DeFi Options Track
SIREN focuses on the DeFi options trading market, with its platform's smart contract technology undergoing multiple security audits and demonstrating high reliability. Technically, SIREN's MACD indicator has formed a golden cross, with short-term moving averages crossing above long-term ones, signaling potential trend reversal. As DeFi options market demand grows, SIREN is positioned to capture market share through technical advantages, with token value promising long-term growth potential.

3. UAI: Technology Breakthrough in AI and Blockchain Fusion
UAI focuses on the intersection of artificial intelligence and blockchain, recently achieving significant technical breakthroughs by successfully implementing blockchain-based AI data secure sharing. Technically, UAI's Bollinger Bands are widening, with price breaking above the upper band, indicating strong short-term upside momentum. Its RSI indicator has not yet entered overbought territory, leaving room for further gains. As AI technology advances, UAI's application prospects are broad, making the token value worthy of long-term attention.

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News Update:

US-Iran Situation Presents Key Variables: Trump posted that the US is close to achieving goals of weakening Iran's missile capabilities and destroying its defense industrial base, and is considering gradually de-escalating military operations against Iran. This news directly triggered a sharp decline in precious metals markets—as of March 21 close, London silver spot prices fell over 6%, London gold spot prices fell over 3%, breaking below the $4,500/oz level. Next week requires monitoring whether precious metals decline further and whether US equities and crypto markets may experience corresponding rebounds.