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ZEC Collapse Countdown? 4-Hour Chart Reveals Terrifying "Death Trajectory," Must Break Below 191!
Hello everyone, today let's talk about ZEC!
A couple of days ago, ZEC just had a little bounce, reaching 230 before fading away, and now it's entering a continuous decline mode. This trend, frankly, is "a rebound is just an opportunity for you to escape," and brothers chasing the high are probably standing guard again. So what should we do next? Will it fall again?
News: Major institutional good news can't stop the market crash
Today's biggest news is that the world's largest Bitcoin mining pool, Foundry, officially launched an institutional-grade Zcash mining pool, specifically open to compliant institutions. This was originally a solid long-term positive, indicating that ZEC is starting to catch the eye of traditional finance, and a big step forward in the compliance path of privacy coins. But why isn't the price rising but falling? The macro environment is too bad, Bitcoin is trembling, and altcoins are all paralyzed. Plus, ZEC has fallen from a high of 380 at the beginning of the year, with heavy trapped positions above. In the face of such macro negative factors, any good news has to step aside.
Summary of news: Long-term is good news, short-term is just noise. Institutional entry is for bottom-fishing, not to lift retail investors.
Technical analysis: Downtrend channel is very clear, 191 must break
Looking at the 4-hour chart, it's simply too standard! From 332 downwards, the highs are decreasing sequentially: 332--265--230, and the lows are constantly being refreshed, forming a clear descending channel. Currently, the price is running along the lower band of the Bollinger Bands, RSI and MFI are both in weak zones, with no sign of bullish divergence. The previous rebound at 190 was because it touched the lower channel line; now that it's back, support has turned into resistance, and a break is highly likely. The first target is the previous low at 191; if broken, it heads toward 180.
Technical summary: The bearish trend is intact, any rebound is just a paper tiger. If 191 can't hold, there's a vacuum below.
Trading strategy: Hold steady if you have short positions, and if you have no position, short on rebounds. Don't think about bottom-fishing; we don't do flying knives.
Personal opinion: ZEC right now is in a "good news exhausted" state, and the technical pattern has already deteriorated. Don't listen to those "institutional entry stories" to take over positions; candlestick charts don't lie. Follow the trend; that's the best approach.
If you always feel a step behind the market, constantly thinking "buying always leads to falling, selling always leads to rising," then I tell you, it's not analysis you're lacking, but a professional guide who can remind you in real-time "opportunity is here" and "run fast"! $ZEC