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The US February CPI data to be released tonight at 20:30 is highly anticipated. The market generally expects an annual rate of 2.4% and a monthly rate of 0.3%. As a key indicator of inflation, this data will have a direct impact on short-term movements of gold, the US dollar, and US Treasury yields, and is also an important reference for judging the Fed's future rate cut pace.
From the current market sentiment, the overall outlook is cautious, with both bulls and bears waiting for the data to land to find a clear direction. If the actual figures are lower than market expectations, rate cut expectations are likely to heat up quickly, which could suppress the dollar's trend and provide strong support for gold; if the data exceeds expectations, it may dampen rate cut expectations, trigger a rapid short-term decline in gold, and significantly increase market volatility; if the data is roughly in line with expectations, the market is more likely to fluctuate sideways, shifting focus to subsequent policy signals.
It is especially important to note that market volatility may significantly amplify before and after the data release. Investors are advised to remain rational, avoid chasing highs or selling lows, strictly control positions, and adopt a cautious approach to manage short-term uncertainties with prudent risk control strategies.