Bitcoin Market Update: Important Price Zones to Monitor

The Bitcoin market has faced many difficulties since October 2025. And as geopolitical tensions escalate—especially after Donald Trump decided to expand conflicts with Iran—the global financial market becomes even more unstable.
Continuous attacks are occurring in the Middle East. This region supplies a large portion of the world’s oil, so any tension here significantly impacts the global energy market.
Oil Prices Rise and Impact on the Market
The USOIL index has recently surged. Oil is one of the most important resources in the global economy. When oil prices increase, production and transportation costs for many countries also rise.

This often leads to:
Higher inflation
Pressures on the economy
Reduced risk sentiment in financial markets
And when risk sentiment drops, volatile assets like Bitcoin are usually affected first.
Although the current market is heavily influenced by war news, price charts remain an important tool to assess market strength and weaknesses.
Monthly Time Frame

Bitcoin broke its upward trend on the monthly chart when the price fell below $74,400.
Many may wonder:
The price has already dropped nearly 50%, so why is it only now being considered a broken monthly trend?
Because trends on larger timeframes always take months to form and also months to break.

In Bitcoin’s previous two bullish cycles:
The monthly trend was broken after a decline of more than 50% from the peak
After breaking the trend, the price continued to fall another approximately 40%
Will history repeat itself this time? No one can be certain.
Five Consecutive Months of Decline

Bitcoin has created five consecutive red candles on the monthly chart.
Typically, after such a strong downtrend, the market often experiences a technical relief bounce.
We might see:
One or two green monthly candles
A short-term rebound
However, it’s important to remember:
Even if there is a bounce, the larger trend on the monthly timeframe remains bearish.
Important Price Zone on the Weekly Chart

On the weekly chart, the $69,000 – $71,200 zone is extremely critical.
Previously:
This was a strong resistance zone
Then the price broke above it
But now, the price has fallen back below this zone and is struggling to stay above.
Signals to Watch
If Bitcoin closes a weekly candle above $71,200, it will be a confirmation that:
➡️ The market may start a stronger rebound
If this signal is not present, it’s best to stay on the sidelines and observe, as the market is still affected by war news.
Daily Time Frame and Breakout Traps

Last week, the price attempted to break the $71,200 zone but ultimately only resulted in a fake breakout.
Notably, since reaching the peak, many false breakouts have caused the price to fall even further afterward.
This is an important lesson in trading:
Fake breakouts often trap traders into wrong positions.
Current Price Structure
On the current chart, Bitcoin is forming:
Higher Low
Higher High
If this structure continues to hold, the market still has the potential to move upward in the short term.
However, for those looking for new entry points, the safest strategy is:
✔️ Wait for confirmation of a price breakout above $71,200
At that point:
The short-term trend will become clearer
The risk of being affected by war news will decrease
Conclusion
The current Bitcoin market is heavily influenced by:
Geopolitical tensions
Rising oil prices
Weakening global risk sentiment
In this context, the most important thing is to be patient and wait for market confirmation rather than making predictions.
📌 Key zone to watch: $71,200
📌 Weekly candle close above this zone: potential start of a rebound
📌 Below this zone: market still carries significant risk
The crypto market is always volatile, so risk management and waiting for clear signals remain the best strategies.