3-3 Evening Outlook

Currently, ETH has experienced a rapid decline after being blocked in the 2050–2089 range, breaking below the 2000 key level and falling back to around 1960.

From a structural perspective:
- The previous high at 2149 remains unbroken
- A local high was formed at 2089
- Price effectively broke below 2000 and tested the midline
- The short-term structure shifted from consolidation to weakness
- If 1960 is lost, a retest of 1930–1950 is highly likely
- If it reclaims above 2000, it indicates a consolidation correction

BOLL:
- Upper band around 2065
- Middle band around 1965
- Lower band around 1866
- Bollinger Bands are beginning to contract downward, with price near the middle band

Key observations:
- Whether the real body effectively breaks below 1965
- Whether volume increases near the lower band
- If the middle band is lost with continued volume, the structure turns bearish
- If volume decreases and the decline halts, it enters a range-bound consolidation

MACD:
- Near the zero line, with red bars turning green
- DIF crosses below DEA, forming a death cross
- Indicates weakening bullish momentum and increasing bearish control
- If green bars continue to enlarge, the correction persists
- If it turns red again, it signals a consolidation correction

Key resistance levels:
- 2000 (psychological and integer resistance)
- 2050–2089 (structural resistance zone)
- 2149 (previous high and strong resistance)

Key support levels:
- 1960–1965 (midline support)
- 1930–1950 (structural retest zone)
- 1866 (strong support at Bollinger lower band)

Summary:
The correction phase has now been confirmed.
2000 has shifted back to a resistance level.
1965 is the short-term bull-bear dividing line.
Breaking below the midline points to 1930;
Holding above the midline suggests consolidation.
End-of-range movements tend to accelerate, so confirming key levels is more important than subjective judgment.

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