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Last night, a massive bullish candle on Bitcoin instantly ignited the entire market sentiment. Everyone was asking, who is driving it? Why is it rising? A review of the timeline reveals a startling coincidence: Bitcoin's surge was almost perfectly synchronized with Trump's speech on CNN.
On the surface, it appears to be an escalation of geopolitical conflict. According to traditional safe-haven logic, one would buy gold and oil. However, the market has shown the exact opposite trend. Oil prices quickly fell back from above $75, gold also retraced, US stocks rebounded, and Bitcoin surged strongly. This is not safe-haven behavior but a risk premium unwind.
Earlier, war panic was overly priced in. When funds judged that the conflict was approaching a phase of convergence, safe-haven funds withdrew, risk appetite fully rebounded, and Bitcoin became the most direct beneficiary. The market never reacts to news; it prices based on expectations.