End of February 2026 Market Trend Forecast

The market has retraced approximately 40% from last October's high, with Bitcoin briefly dropping near $60,000, mainly due to geopolitical tensions (such as US-Iran conflicts), Federal Reserve policy uncertainties, and the reversal of yen arbitrage trades.

This is not a crash but a orderly deleveraging: institutional investors are accumulating Bitcoin, while retail investors panic sell, leading to market cap evaporation but solid fundamentals. The regulatory environment is turning positive, with the SEC dropping multiple cases and the CLARITY Act advancing, signaling that institutional funds will accelerate inflows, shifting the market from defense to growth.

In the short term, Bitcoin dominance reaches 59%, with altcoins under pressure. However, as tariffs ease and AI infrastructure upgrades, risk appetite is rebounding. Bitcoin, as "digital gold," will lead the rebound, aiming to return to $100,000; Ethereum benefits from Layer 2 scaling solutions, and Solana improves performance through the Firedancer update.

On a macro level, improved global liquidity will amplify the integration of crypto and traditional finance, with tokenization and stablecoins (like USDT) becoming new growth drivers. However, caution is needed regarding volatility caused by rising inflation and geopolitical risks.

Investment recommendations: core allocation in Bitcoin (50%) as a stabilizing asset; diversification into Ethereum and Solana (30%) to capture ecosystem expansion; remaining 20% allocated to AI-related altcoins (such as GORK) and RWA projects for high-beta returns. Strategy-wise, accumulate on dips, avoid leverage, and monitor ETF inflows and on-chain data.

Overall, optimistic about a mid- to long-term bull market, but patience is required in the short term, with risk management prioritized.

$BTC ‌$ETH ‌
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