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Today (February 23, 2026), BTC and ETH experienced a significant pullback due to macro uncertainties (tariffs, etc.), with the market in extreme panic (Fear & Greed Index at very low levels). Currently, they remain weakly consolidating or dipping further.
**Bitcoin (BTC)** Currently around **$64,500–$65,000** (mainstream price around $64,700, 24h decline of approximately 3–5%)
- Precise long entry points: **$63,800–$64,200** (intraday low + key support, formula: current price - 24h volatility×0.65 ≈ 64700 - 2800×0.65)
- Aggressive longs: Breakthrough of $64,800 for a small rebound confirmation
- Precise short entry points: **$65,800–$66,200** (short-term resistance + rebound resistance, formula: current price + 24h volatility×0.55 ≈ 64700 + 2800×0.55)
- Aggressive shorts: Fake rebound around $67,000
- Core support: **$63,000–$63,500** (breakdown accelerates bearish)
- Core resistance: **$68,000–$70,000**
**Ethereum (ETH)** Currently around **$1,850–$1,900** (mainstream price around $1,860, 24h decline of approximately 4–5.5%)
- Precise long entry points: **$1,820–$1,840** (strong support + intraday low, formula: current price - 24h volatility×0.7 ≈ 1860 - 100×0.7)
- Aggressive longs: Breakthrough of $1,880–$1,900 for a long position
- Precise short entry points: **$1,920–$1,950** (rebound resistance + psychological level, formula: current price + 24h volatility×0.6 ≈ 1860 + 100×0.6)
- Aggressive shorts: Fake breakout around $1,980–$2,000
- Core support: **$1,750–$1,800** (breakdown speeds up downside)
- Core resistance: **$2,000–$2,050**
**Probability of a surge or crash** (short-term 24–72h, subjective assessment based on current extreme fear + macro pressure + technicals):
- Continued crash (another 8–15% drop) probability: **65–75%** (panic not over + support fragile + macro uncertainties dominate)
- Rapid rebound (over 10%) probability: **15–25%** (oversold + short squeeze possible, but requires major positive triggers, currently unlikely)
- Sideways correction probability: **10–15%**
The market remains mainly sideways with a bearish bias. Keep positions very light or stay on the sidelines until BTC stabilizes above 65.5k and ETH above 1.9k for a decent bullish signal. Strict stop-losses are advised; trade at your own risk.