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$BTC
Short-term probability ratio — 55% for an increase versus 45% for a decrease. After consolidation, there is a formation of “long tails” on daily candles — this may be a sign of accumulation. A test of the 70,000 USDT area is likely if trading volume exceeds 400 million USDT; otherwise, the market will remain in a range.
Bullish scenario: Strengthening amid institutional buying and recovery after ETF outflows, confirmed by growth in Lightning Network and on-chain activity. RSI is in the neutral zone; MACD is forming a positive signal.
Short-term buy📈
Entry: 67,900 USDT (50% of position)
Stop: 66,000 USDT
Target: 70,600 USDT
Bearish scenario: A critical factor could be breaking support amid rising tension or increased outflows. Increased whale selling and negative macro reactions will raise the risk of decline.
Short-term sell📉
Entry: 66,000 USDT
Stop: 68,500 USDT
Target: 64,000 USDT