$BTC

Key tactic: The short-term market has a high probability of bouncing back (58 %) against the probability of decline (42 %). At the current level of 68,850 USDT, an attempt to rise to 70,000 USDT is expected, provided institutional inflows and macro sentiment stability continue.

Growth scenario: Weakening dollar and capital inflows into ETFs boost bullish sentiment. RSI exits oversold territory, MACD is close to a positive crossover, and large accounts are gradually adding long positions.
Short-term buy entry 📈
Entry point: 65,500 USDT (position share — 40 %)
Stop-loss: 64,800 USDT
Take-profit: 67,000 USDT

Decline scenario: If BTC cannot break through the **70,000 USDT** level and remains below the 200 MA middle line, there is a high chance of a pullback to 63,000–62,000 USDT amid profit-taking and reactivation of whales. Negative capital inflow will increase pressure, especially if ETH and SOL correct after a quick recovery.
Short-term sell entry 📉
Entry point: 67,000 USDT
Stop-loss: 70,500 USDT
Take-profit: 63,500 USDT