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$SOL #BitcoinBouncesBack
SOL/USDT chart data and strategy components, here is a breakdown of how the 4H Liquidity, 5 Min Sweep, FVG, Entry, and 3RR strategy could be applied to the current market structure.
Market Context
The daily chart shows SOL in a significant downtrend from a high near $123** to the current price of **~$84. The MACD is bearish (DIF and DEA negative), and the price is below the Bollinger Band midline (BOLL: 86.38), indicating selling pressure.
Applied Trading Strategy Plan
1) 4H Liquidity (Higher Timeframe Target Zones)
· Purpose: Identify key areas where stop losses are clustered, which the price might "sweep" before reversing.
· Analysis from Chart: On the 4H/Daily chart, recent swing highs and swing lows act as liquidity pools.
· Recent High (Sell-Side Liquidity): The peak near $89.08 (the 24h High) is a level where buyers might have entered, placing stop-losses above.
· Recent Low (Buy-Side Liquidity): The swing low at $82.88 (the 24h Low) is a level where sellers might have entered, placing stop-losses below.
· Strategic Assumption: Price is more likely to reverse if it moves to sweep one of these levels before showing signs of exhaustion.
2) 5 Min Sweep (Trigger for Entry)
· Purpose: On the 5-minute chart, wait for price to aggressively move into and sweep a key liquidity level (like the 24h High or Low), creating a "false breakout" or over-extension.
· Scenario for a LONG Trade: Watch for a fast, wick-down below $82.88 that quickly rejects and closes back above it. This sweep of buy-side liquidity (stop losses) could fuel a reversal.
· Scenario for a SHORT Trade: Watch for a fast, wick-up above $89.08 that quickly rejects and closes back below it. This sweep of sell-side liquidity could be the start of a new leg down.
3) FVG (Fair Value Gap - Entry Confirmation)
· Purpose: After the sweep, look for a Fair Value Gap on the 5-minute chart as the price reverses. An FVG is a 3-candle imbalance where the wicks do not overlap, indicating strong buying or selling momentum.
· For a Long Entry: After sweeping the low ($82.88), a strong bullish candle up would create a bullish FVG (a gap in price where no trading occurred). We would look to buy on a retest of the top of this FVG.
· For a Short Entry: After sweeping the high ($89.08), a strong bearish candle down would create a bearish FVG. We would look to sell on a retest of the bottom of this FVG.
4) Entry (Precise Order Placement)
· Long Entry Example:
1. Price sweeps below $82.88 and reverses up sharply.
2. A bullish FVG forms between, say, $83.20** and **$83.80.
3. Entry: Place a limit buy order at the top of the FVG (e.g., $83.75) as price retraces to fill the gap.
· Short Entry Example:
1. Price sweeps above $89.08 and reverses down sharply.
2. A bearish FVG forms between, say, $88.50** and **$87.90.
3. Entry: Place a limit sell order at the bottom of the FVG (e.g., $87.95) on the retest.
5) 3RR (1:3 Risk-to-Reward Ratio)
· Purpose: Ensure the potential profit is at least 3 times the risk taken.
· Long Trade Example:
· Entry: $83.75
· Stop Loss (SL): Placed just below the low of the sweep candle (e.g., $82.50). **Risk = $1.25**.
· Take Profit (TP): Set at a 3:1 ratio. TP = Entry + (3 x Risk) = $83.75 + $3.75 = $87.50.
· This TP target would align with a previous resistance or the lower high on the 5-minute chart.
· Short Trade Example:
· Entry: $87.95
· Stop Loss (SL): Placed just above the high of the sweep candle (e.g., $89.30). **Risk = $1.35**.
· Take Profit (TP): TP = Entry - (3 x Risk) = $87.95 - $4.05 = $83.90.
· This TP target would align with the recent swing low or a support level.
Summary for Current SOL/USDT Setup
Given the strong daily downtrend:
· The higher probability play is to watch for a short opportunity.
· Monitor the 5-minute chart for a price sweep above the $89.08 high, followed by a sharp rejection and the formation of a bearish FVG.
· Enter short on the FVG retest, with a stop loss above the sweep high, and a take profit targeting a move back towards the $84 region or lower for a 3:1 R/R.
Always wait for all conditions to align. This strategy requires patience for the Sweep + FVG + Retest sequence to occur before entering with a disciplined stop loss and profit target.