ETH Evening Trading Strategy (2026.2.6)

Based on recent continuous decline in ETH, the 4-hour weak structure remains unchanged, and intraday support is under pressure, this evening's strategy mainly involves shorting on rebounds, with a focus on light positions near strong support, strict position control, and proper stop-loss placement to avoid overnight sudden volatility risks.

1. Market Core Judgment

1. Trend Qualitative: The daily chart shows consecutive declines breaking key support, the 4-hour moving averages are in a bearish alignment, rebounds face resistance and then fall back, indicating a downtrend continuation pattern. No reversal is confirmed unless a volume-driven bullish candle breaks through;
2. Key Price Levels: Strong intraday support at $2070-2080 (recent lows + key defense zone), short-term resistance at $2150-2180 (4-hour Bollinger middle band), the dividing line between bulls and bears at $2200 (confirmation requires volume to stabilize above).

2. Specific Trading Strategies

(1) Main Strategy: Short on rebounds (core operation, position ≤50%)

1. Entry Points: Short positions are built in batches at rebounds between $2150-2180, with smaller positions closer to $2180;
2. Stop-Loss: Strictly set above $2200 (a break indicates a weakening pattern, exit immediately);
3. Target Levels: First target at $2080-2070 (reduce position by 50% upon reaching, move stop-loss to $2100 for remaining positions); if broken, watch $2050, and if that level is lost, look towards the round number at $2000;
4. Add to Positions: When falling below $2070 with no volume rebound, add small short positions, and move stop-loss up to $2100 simultaneously.

(2) Auxiliary Strategy: Strong support test for long positions (oversold correction, position ≤20%)

Suitable only for spot or low-leverage contracts, high-leverage betting is strictly prohibited:

1. Entry Points: When retesting $2070-2080 and the 4-hour candle closes bullishly and stabilizes, initiate a 1% position; if retesting $2050 shows divergence at the bottom, add another 1%;
2. Stop-Loss: Exit immediately if falling below $2050 (a break of strong support increases the probability of accelerated decline);
3. Target Levels: First target at $2150-2180 (reduce by 50% upon reaching); if volume confirms stabilization above $2200, lightly add positions, aiming for $2250.