【BTC Short-Term Trend Analysis | How to Respond in the Current Stage】

The current market, after a long lower shadow, remains in a weak oscillating structure and has not formed an effective reversal.

From a Fibonacci perspective, judging by a weak rebound,
the 0.236 level corresponds to around $80,965; at the same time, the 7-day moving average on the daily chart will also be pushed down to around $81,000 after tomorrow's close. In the current overall weak environment, the $80,000–$81,000 zone constitutes a clear resistance area, making it difficult to stabilize in the short term. If the rebound is blocked, caution is needed as the market may retest lower levels.

First, pay attention to the support strength at the $75,000 level. However, from a larger cycle perspective, the overall pattern remains bearish, and the technical chart is not ideal. There is still a possibility of accelerated decline in February.

Position and Strategy:
Currently, the community spot position cost is around 2850, with holdings controlled at 60-70%. In the current stage, spot trading is not suitable for emotional operations, nor is it advisable to set stop-loss casually. If the price continues to decline in the short term, consider adding positions in stages at lower levels to reduce the overall cost.

It is important to clarify that major support levels and more ideal entry zones are still around $69,000–$70,000. Until then, all operations should focus on defense, maintain patience, and avoid being drained by weak rebounds.

Summary in one sentence:
Short-term rebounds cannot change the weak structure; controlling positions and waiting for key supports are more important than frequent trading. The buy zone is around $70,000, and watch for rebounds to $80,000 to decide on actions. Currently, it’s not easy to cut losses.