February 1, 2026 13:30 (UTC+8), BTC is currently trading at $78,000, with a daily low of approximately $75,500, down over 7%. Volume expansion has led to panic selling, dominated by short-term bears.

📊 Key Levels and Indicator Overview

- Resistance: $79,500-$80,000 / $82,000; Support: $75,000 / $72,000 (Strong support at $72,000).
- Moving Averages: 50/200-day moving averages are in a bearish alignment, with prices significantly deviating from the averages, indicating strong bearish pressure.
- RSI(14): 25-30, deeply oversold, may see a weak rebound but not a reversal.
- MACD( Daily: Bearish crossover downward, strong bearish momentum; Volume: increasing downward movement, selling pressure concentrated.

⚙️ Trading Strategies (Short-term / Contracts / Spot)

- Contract Strategy (Aggressive): Short at $79,500-$80,000 rebound, stop-loss at $81,000, target $77,000-$75,500, break below $72,000, position size ≤2%.
- Spot Strategy (Conservative): Mainly observe, wait for volume to decrease and stabilize or for a secondary bottom. Partial positions: around $75,000, 1-2%; if $72,000 stabilizes, add another 1-2%, total position ≤3%, stop-loss below $72,000.
- Mid-term Strategy (Positioning): If $72,000 is effectively broken, medium-term target $68,000-$65,000, patiently wait for weekly volume contraction signals indicating a bottom.

⚠️ Risk Management Points

- Leverage: Contracts prohibit high leverage, use small positions with strict stop-loss to prevent chain liquidations.
- Capital: ETF outflows continue, liquidity contracts, and selling pressure may amplify volatility.
- Correlation: US stocks, gold, and regulatory news may intensify volatility; closely monitor these factors.
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