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Crypto is hard to make money in, but even harder is—holding on.
How many people have bought good coins but got shaken out just as the price started to rise? And how many are still dreaming of the next limit-up when they should be running? The key is whether you can tell if the main force is shaking the price or unloading.
Here are some details I’ve summarized to help you judge:
**Trading Volume is a Weather Vane of Sentiment**
During the shakeout phase, trading volume will noticeably decline, and the market will be very quiet. This is a signal that the main force is creating panic and clearing out floating positions. Conversely, during distribution, volume will pick up again, and you might even see a strange phenomenon—"high volume but stagnant price"—don’t be fooled. At this point, the main force is distributing chips at high levels.
**Price Gains Determine Risk Level**
A correction within a 30% increase? That’s probably a shakeout. But if the increase has already exceeded 60%, and market sentiment is especially euphoric, then a sudden sideways movement or continued rise should raise your alert—this is very likely a tactic to push the price higher and distribute.
**Minute Chart "Acts"**
During shakeouts, the minute chart shows very fierce movements, with rapid drops and rebounds, aiming to scare retail investors. In the distribution phase, the minute chart appears very "stable," oscillating repeatedly within a certain price range, making people think "it won’t fall further," but in reality, the main force is quietly cashing out.
Don’t chase perfect buy or sell points. The real secret to making money is—hold during the shakeout, and run quickly during distribution. The market is like a rhythm game with the main force; understanding it is the key to winning.