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People who make money in the crypto world are often not those who pick the right coins, but those who choose the right timing. The key difference lies in—whether you can distinguish if the main force is consolidating or distributing.
We’ve all seen this situation: a good coin is indeed bought, but it’s sold off after a 30% rise, or it reaches a high level and is held tightly without letting go. Both extremes lead to losses. So what’s the key? Understanding the actions of the main force.
**Trading Volume Is the Least Deceptive**
During the consolidation phase, trading volume visibly shrinks to the naked eye. Trading becomes dull, retail investors’ sentiment worsens, and this is exactly what the main force wants—to create panic and wash out weak-handed chips. Conversely, during distribution, trading volume will become noticeably active, sometimes with "high-volume stagnation at high levels," indicating the main force is quietly offloading amid active trading. The volume curves in these two scenarios tell completely different stories.
**Position Is Very Important**
The same decline can mean different things. A correction within a 30% drop is often a consolidation—main force may still continue to push up. But if the price has already risen more than 60%, and market sentiment starts to go crazy, then sideways movement or upward rally at this point should be approached with caution, as it’s likely part of a high-level distribution rhythm. Position determines the meaning of the same trend.
**Details in the Intraday Chart Are Very Important**
During consolidation, the intraday trend can be fierce—rapid drops followed by quick recoveries, frequent oscillations creating panic. But during distribution, the trend may appear "steady" or even "strong," oscillating repeatedly within a certain range, giving retail investors the illusion that "support has been established," while in reality, the main force is systematically offloading chips.
True trading art isn’t about buying at the lowest point or selling at the highest point. The practical goal should be: be patient and hold during the main force’s consolidation, and be decisive to exit during distribution. Mastering these two points will naturally lead to long-term gains.