2026-01-18 15:26:38

DASH has indeed been performing strongly lately. Several times I wanted to reverse my position but didn't manage to catch the bottom, and instead got hit by a counter-move. There was an opportunity to go short at a relatively low level, but I still didn't take action, mainly because I was afraid of getting trapped halfway up. This feeling of being trapped is the most frustrating—it not only causes psychological stress but also raises concerns about margin calls due to insufficient funds. So it's better to heed advice and not rush into reversals. Sometimes the market is like this, easily leading people to make mistakes, especially in a strong trend. Maintaining rational judgment often yields more stable profits than rushing to place orders.

The current strategy is to continue observing and wait for clearer high-level signals before considering short positions. Another coin to watch closely this time is DUSK. Although its rise isn't as aggressive as DASH, it's still worth paying attention to. The key is to find more reliable shorting opportunities, ideally those with an 80% confidence level before taking action. The market is never short of opportunities; what’s lacking is patience and waiting.

DASH-3,62%

DUSK-7,13%

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RegenRestorer

· 01-21 15:05

That's how we got hit hard this time; now I just want to wait and see what happens. This DASH move is really aggressive; I didn't dare to short it either, too easy to get trapped. Wait for DUSK; I feel it might have a higher chance. Don't rush, there are many opportunities in the market; the key is not to get liquidated. Wait until you're confident before taking action; this time, I'm serious.

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StablecoinArbitrageur

· 01-21 14:41

actually, the liquidation risk you're describing is textbook poor position sizing. if you're genuinely worried about getting trapped at 80% confidence, your leverage is already too high. basic kelly criterion would suggest you're overleveraging by at least 2-3x. dusk though... interesting liquidity profile on uniswap vs binance, worth noting the basis spread before any shorting tbh

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TommyTeacher

· 01-20 21:46

Being repeatedly hammered by DASH is really annoying, I've also suffered this loss... Still have to hold back, don't be stubborn.

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MissedAirdropBro

· 01-20 16:34

The strong market trend is like this; it makes you want to go against it, but the more you do, the more you lose. DASH has been really fierce this time; I've also been hammered. Wait for a better entry point, probably above a certain level before it's worth risking. I'm also watching DUSK, but it's much more moderate compared to DASH. Forcing a reversal is really a disaster; being liquidated due to insufficient margin is the worst. Still have to be patient. There are many opportunities in the market, but the key is patience. Watching from the sidelines is much more comfortable than blindly placing orders. With DASH's rhythm, short positions should be laid in at high levels to truly deserve oneself.

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LiquidationWatcher

· 01-18 15:55

Really, DASH's move was too fierce, and those who shorted got eaten. I also wanted to buy the dip earlier, but I held back in the end, after all, being trapped halfway up the mountain is too uncomfortable. Let's wait, there are plenty of opportunities anyway, no rush for this one. DUSK is worth keeping an eye on, it's a bit milder than DASH.

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ShibaSunglasses

· 01-18 15:54

Feeling a bit mentally overwhelmed by DASH's strong rally this time. Several times I tried to buy the dip but missed out haha. Wait, I think you're right. Instead of being stuck halfway up the mountain and suffering, it's better to patiently wait for the opportunity with about an 80% certainty. I'm also watching DUSK, but I still need to hold back and not always think about going against the trend.

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LoneValidator

· 01-18 15:47

I understand the feeling of being beaten up by DASH, the despair of a short position halfway up the mountain. Let me tell you, instead of betting on strength, it's better to wait until you have about an 80% confidence before taking action. Anyway, there are plenty of opportunities. I'm also watching this coin DUSK, but I think I'll wait for a signal. Don't get caught in a trap again.

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JustHereForMemes

· 01-18 15:45

Hit by DASH again? Haha, that's the price of chasing highs... Wait, why didn't I believe you about having an "80% confidence"... DUSK isn't that crazy, but don't get too optimistic about it either; the market can change in an instant. Shorting is really hard to catch; I've been trapped too, that feeling... incredible. It's better to stay on the sidelines; doing nothing is much better than acting recklessly, really.

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BlockchainDecoder

· 01-18 15:40

According to research, this phenomenon of chasing high and getting trapped is actually a typical time series overfitting problem—your historical win rate pattern completely fails in a strong market trend. Forcing short positions, from a technical perspective, is contrarian trading, and data shows that the risk exposure of such strategies is often seriously underestimated. It is worth noting, how is the 80% confidence threshold defined? Based on what indicator system? However, it must be said that recognizing that "the market is not lacking opportunities but patience" is already a step ahead of most people. Continuing to follow DUSK is still meaningful.

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