In the crypto world over the years, I have seen too many people chasing gains and selling at losses. After a series of operations, they end up broke. To be honest, most people losing money are not because of bad luck, but because they simply don’t have their own trading system. Today I share with you what I’ve explored over many years. There’s no mysticism, only real market signals. If you can strictly follow them, even if you don’t make big money, you can at least survive longer.

**Level One: Choose coins based on popularity, don’t be an archaeologist digging dead coins**

I never touch those dull, dead coins. When looking at the gainers list, I only consider coins that have had a rise in the past half month. Why? It’s simple—coins that have gone up before indicate that there is capital in them, which is called capital memory. It’s like a crowd on the street; no matter if the people behind can see clearly or not, they still gather to take a look.

Conversely, coins that haven’t moved in half a year and are lying flat? You might think you’re bottom-fishing for bargains, but you’re actually taking the last hit. When everyone says it’s cheap, that’s often the most dangerous time.

具体怎么做：
- Focus on coins with continuous volume increases, especially when they break through a certain resistance level and then pull back
- Don’t expect to find “undervalued coins,” the crypto market emphasizes momentum, not value. Value investing doesn’t quite apply here

**Level Two: The monthly MACD is my ruler; trend determines life or death**

News, project team calls, big influencers setting the rhythm—I listen to all that, but in the end, I only look at the monthly MACD. Coins with a golden cross on the monthly chart are signals of a real start; coins with a death cross on the monthly chart are off-limits. No matter how much they rebound, it’s like licking blood on a knife’s edge.

Many people stare at 1-minute or 5-minute K-lines all day, their fingers worn out. My advice is to carefully review the monthly chart once a month; it’s more reassuring and helps avoid pitfalls. After a monthly golden cross, every retracement on the daily chart could be an opportunity. But once the big trend breaks, don’t expect a rebound—run quickly, don’t fall in love with the market.

**Level Three: The 60-day moving average is my starting gun**

My summary for buying points is very simple: four words—wait for signals.

When to act? When the price pulls back near the 60-day moving average with increased volume, just go for it. Why the 60-day line? Because it represents the market’s average cost. If the price falls below it, it means no one is defending the market; if it rises above, it indicates capital is returning.

Don’t try to guess the bottom—that’s a gambler’s game. Wait for signals, just like waiting for a green light when crossing the street. When it’s time for you to act, the market will clearly tell you.

Trading isn’t that complicated; what’s complicated is your mindset. Most people lose because they can’t hold back, always wanting to earn a little more, but end up with nothing. My logic is simple: follow the signals, let the market make the decisions for you.