2026-01-18 14:40:29

The script in the crypto world is actually very predictable: during a bull market, it creates dreams for you; during a bear market, it gives you nightmares.

Looking back at the last cycle—
When BTC surged to 69,000, the entire trading community was hyping up "aiming for 150,000 by the end of the year," with everyone’s analysis reports sounding convincing, and positions being adjusted accordingly.

By the end of 2024, 150,000 surprisingly became a "consensus," but strangely—no one seriously asked: what if it doesn’t reach that?

An even more interesting phenomenon:
Now the market is oscillating at the bottom repeatedly. It should be a good opportunity to buy the dip, but the bearish voices are actually increasing—complaining about slow gains, dull market conditions, and missing the thrill of a roller coaster.

This is the market’s routine:

· At the top, relentlessly pumping confidence
· At the bottom, continuously sowing doubt
· When you finally believe, the profit margins have already been exhausted

The real bottom is always quiet;
The crazy top is always crowded.

So, what about you now?
Are you following the crowd’s call, or lurking when no one’s paying attention?
#美国核心物价涨幅不及市场预估 $BTC $SOL

BTC-5,64%

ETH-9,89%

SOL-10,79%

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SolidityJester

· 01-21 11:01

To be honest, that's why I never pay attention to those "end-of-year push for X ten thousand" analyses; they're all armchair strategists after the fact. The real opportunity is when the market is quiet at the bottom, but no one dares to move. Most of the people still stubbornly insisting are the ones trapped; I just watch quietly. A couple of days ago, someone asked me why I wasn't chasing, and I just said—by the time more people join, it'll be too late. Those who can break out this round are definitely not the most active group right now.

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HalfPositionRunner

· 01-21 10:24

It hurts to see that no one comes at the bottom That's so true. Now, the number of people bearish is ten times the number of those buying the dip I was also brainwashed into believing in 150,000 followers when it was at 69,000, and now I regret it a bit The bottom is the loneliest time; those who endure are the winners I've seen this trick many times; it's always a minority who makes money

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ShibaSunglasses

· 01-21 02:48

The bottom is really quiet now. There are indeed more bears now, but what does that actually mean? It's only when no one is crazy that there's a real opportunity—just no courage to jump in. Where's the promised 150,000? Now everyone is changing their tune. Last year, a bunch of so-called experts, and now they all shut up? You should be greedy at the bottom, but everyone wants the thrill of a roller coaster.

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YieldChaser

· 01-20 08:19

Honestly, those still shouting bearish now haven't experienced the bottom dividend. It's always the same cycle... The hardest part at the bottom is the psychological battle; no one keeps you company when you're lonely. When the 150,000 dream shatters, you realize who was swimming naked, and at that time, all the hot comments were deleted. The true winners in this round are those who can resist looking at the K-line. Wait, how much does the Federal Reserve CPI data impact on-chain liquidity?

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RektDetective

· 01-18 15:05

That’s so true. The bottom is meant to be lonely. When everyone is shouting, it’s actually time to run. People are all greedy. At the top, they boast wildly; at the bottom, they’re all timid. It’s really just a psychological game—seeing who can hold steady without moving. The bottom is indeed eerily quiet, but that’s exactly when wealth transfer happens. When it was around 150,000, everyone was really an analyst. Now, everyone is pretending to be dead. This repeated fluctuation is actually testing who truly believes and who is just following the trend. Places that nobody pays attention to are the opportunities, but most people simply can’t wait.

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GlueGuy

· 01-18 15:04

Exactly right, the bottom should be ignored by everyone; having someone with you is what signals the top is coming.

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OnchainUndercover

· 01-18 15:00

The bottom is the time to be greedy, but now the screen is full of cowards. I really can't hold on anymore, 150,000 dreams shattered and still pretending to be deep. This time is truly different... (laughs) Wait, the quiet bottom is because there's no profit to talk about, everyone is looking for a new narrative. That's right, but it hurts a bit. I am the fool who crazily bought at the top. Anyway, I've already cut my losses. Now, seeing others make money makes me sick. Bottom ambush? You need to have spare money. Mine is already locked in at 65,000. The most toxic thing isn't being bearish, but those who pretend not to panic.

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RektHunter

· 01-18 15:00

The bottom is meant to be quiet. The more people complain now, the more I want to buy... Maybe this is the opportunity. --- The 150,000 dream hasn't awakened yet, and I'm already creating new dreams. That's how the crypto world works. --- It's always like this: the top is crowded, and the bottom is cold and quiet. I'm just waiting for those scared to cut their losses. --- Basically, it's a psychological game. Whoever can resist watching the K-line wins. --- When the bearish voices are loud, it's often a turning point. This time, I choose to trust my judgment. --- Let's stay quiet a bit longer so we can shake off most retail investors and leave opportunities for the real players.

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