2026-01-17 16:24:33

The technical signals are quietly shifting.

Recently, after monitoring the market, both BTC and ETH are showing some interesting signs — the depletion of bears is clearly increasing, and on smaller timeframes, there are early signs of bottom divergence. Honestly, this pattern on the 120-minute chart looks like it's gathering strength and preparing to move upward gradually, rather than continuing to fall.

Looking back at the recent trades, the BTC long at 94,800+ and ETH long at 3,260+ given during midday didn't have as much volatility as expected, but the probability of triggering was still quite high. Last night, I decided to close all the overnight positions with small profits — after all, sleeping peacefully without watching the K-line all night is truly satisfying.

The entry ideas also reveal some clues. Both assets have recently been inclined to accumulate longs at low levels rather than chase highs to short. During the midday pullback, BTC only dipped to around 95,000 before rebounding, without breaking lower. ETH was even more resilient, stopping at 3,282, indicating that the support levels are quite solid.

Looking further back, since the switch from resistance to support on the 13th, the market has been running for five consecutive trading days. During this period, the success rate of long positions has been quite stable, and the recent state is indeed healthy.

Unless there is a sudden market shock from news, after consolidating at high levels over the weekend, the technical rebound could officially begin.

**Trading Suggestions:**

For BTC, around 94,800 is the first entry point, with 94,400 as a backup for adding positions. The target range is 96,000 to 96,500.

For ETH, consider going long around 3,280, with 3,250 as a second entry point. The target is 3,320 to 3,340.

All shared ideas are real trading thoughts and do not constitute any investment advice. Please trade within your own means.

BTC0,54%

ETH1,22%

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Lonely_Validator

· 01-20 15:57

Yes, the support and defense are indeed solid. The bottom divergence this time feels a bit significant. Wait, how did I miss the 94800 order? I overslept again. Looking at the 120-minute chart, it really has that feel. Just worried that another black swan might come over the weekend. I think this wave at 3280 is doable, just a small position to try out. The previous five-day winning streak was quite steady. Let's continue to follow it this time. 96000 doesn't seem that far-fetched, but 3340 might be a bit of a stretch.

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AlphaBrain

· 01-20 10:39

The bottom divergence rhetoric is back again. Every time, it's full of confidence, but in the end, it still hurts. If this wave of bottom-fishing really turns around, I would eat the 24-hour chart. By the way, is that entry point at 94800 really reliable? It feels like gambling again. I just want to laugh when they talk about strong support. Whether it breaks or holds at 3250 will be the real test.

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ETHmaxi_NoFilter

· 01-17 16:54

The support is indeed solid, but I'm just worried that a black swan over the weekend might break this rhythm. This wave of bottom divergence was well executed, but I still want to see if it can break above 96K first. That stop at 3282 was interesting, but I feel like it needs to dip a bit more for me to feel more secure. Really, sleeping through the night is way more enjoyable than watching the screen; my nerves are already exhausted. I'm a bit hesitant at 94800; I feel like it could dip further. Brothers trying to catch the bottom, this time they really sniffed out the opportunity. The success rate of long positions has been so stable, thanks to the previous precision. The 120-minute buildup is just like this—taking it slow is the right approach, no need to rush. Whether the support can hold depends heavily on the news; a sudden breaking news can break the defense in minutes. Five consecutive trading days of wins, this state is definitely on point, but I also feel the risk is accumulating. The 96500 target is a bit conservative; it should be able to push higher, right?

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WhaleShadow

· 01-17 16:54

I'm tired of hearing the bottom divergence rhetoric, but this time the support really didn't break, feels like there's a chance. That order at 94800 indeed has a high probability, but the volatility is too small, so it's hard to make much money. Is the support defense solid? It was solid last time too, but it broke overnight. Still, let's see the news. The win rate of long positions for five consecutive trading days is stable; this is the real deal, unlike some who shout about the bottom every day. If there's no black swan over the weekend, a rebound should be fine, but the word "should" is the most unsettling. The 96000 target is a bit conservative, why not aim for 97000? Setting the re-entry point at 3250 was a good move, at least it provides room for adjustment. Sleeping soundly is indeed satisfying, but it also shows that the courage has shrunk—that's the real truth.

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LayoffMiner

· 01-17 16:50

Hmm, it's a bit interesting. The bottom divergence does seem possible, but I'm worried it might be another false breakout trap. The bearish exhaustion is indeed significant, but we still need to be cautious about news over the weekend to avoid being hammered down later. I'm also watching the move that entered at 94800, but I don't dare to go all in, afraid of a sudden plunge overnight and not being able to sleep well. BTC's support is indeed strong, and the rebound reacts quite quickly, which is somewhat interesting. The problem is, how long can this pattern last? I have a feeling that next week might bring more uncertainties.

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