#周末行情分析

Against the backdrop of gradually weakening selling pressure, the cryptocurrency market this weekend indeed faces a dilemma between consolidation and rebound. Based on current data, I am more optimistic about the possibility of a short-term rebound. The reason is that the overall market sentiment has shifted from cautious at the end of last year to neutral leaning towards optimism. Institutional inflows (such as ETF funds) and on-chain indicators (like whale accumulation) show increasing support. If mainstream coins can stabilize with increased trading volume (for example, BTC daily volume exceeding $70 billion), the probability of a technical rebound rises to over 60%. Conversely, a simple consolidation and correction are more like a short-term digestion process and will not dominate the weekend trend. Of course, this depends on macro factors, such as whether there are unexpected geopolitical events or Federal Reserve signals over the weekend.
This weekend, I am most focused on BTC as the leading mainstream coin. It is currently fluctuating around $95,000, with short-term resistance at $98,000-$100,000. A breakout could trigger a chain reaction of rebounds (including ETH and SOL). As for altcoins, I will pay attention to SOL because of its active ecosystem (supported by DeFi and AI narratives). If BTC stabilizes, it has the potential to lead a 5-10% rally.
$BTC $ETH $SOL