#比特币2026年行情展望 Short-term rebounds are likely, but long-term vigilance is still necessary. January seems to present many opportunities, but by February, you need to be more alert.

**Why is January worth looking forward to?**

From a macro perspective, the BTC daily chart shows a typical bearish arrangement—an overall downward trend, no doubt. However, in the short term, the hourly chart has already shifted to a bullish configuration. After such a long decline, a rebound is inevitable; this is just a normal technical correction. Therefore, in January, we are likely to see a decent rebound.

**How far can the rebound go? Why should we be cautious in February?**

The first target is 100,000. The logic is simple—dropping from 100,000 to 80,600 was sharp and direct, with insufficient trading volume accumulation in between, and no obvious "traffic jam" phenomenon. When rebounding back, it won't be too difficult, and the movement will be smoother.

The real trouble zone is around 107,400. Once the rebound breaks through 100,000, it enters a strong resistance area, and climbing higher will become more difficult. The 107,400 level is a tough nut to crack; breaking through in one go is challenging.

So, in February, you should be more cautious. The rebound may have already reached its limit, and the macro bearish pattern could reassert itself, so stay alert.

$BTC