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Bitcoin fractal analysis suggests we could be at a potential market top. Using the last bearish retest pattern from March '21 when BTC touched the 365-day VWAP as a reference point, here's the mapped scenario:
If history repeats, we're looking at roughly a year-long bear phase trading between 74k on the upside and 55k as support. The 365d VWAP would likely get reclaimed around February 2028, with the next Bitcoin halving following just a month later in March 2028.
The fractal correlation isn't perfect, but the timeframe alignment with the halving cycle is worth monitoring closely. Whether this plays out depends heavily on macro conditions over the coming months.