2026-01-16 05:23:26

The more silent the market, the closer Bitcoin's explosion is. This statement has been repeatedly validated throughout history.

Recent trends are enough to prove the point. Bitcoin plummeted from 126,000 to 80,000, a 37% drop causing many to cut their positions and sell at a loss. Panic spread throughout the trading floor. But those who truly understand the market know—this is not a bear market signal, but rather the most classic shakeout tactic at the end of a bull market.

Looking at the ledger makes it clear. During the 2017 bull market, the final three months saw a brutal 152% increase. Similarly, in 2021, there was nearly a 120% rise within three months. Last year, 2024, the market also surged nearly 100% in three months. The patterns are astonishingly similar.

Now, the signals on the chart are also very clear. ETF funds haven't stopped accumulating, M2 is expanding, and the Nasdaq has hit new highs. The Federal Reserve talks hawkishly, but in practice, they are easing the pace. All these signs point to the same conclusion— we are on the brink of a breakout at the end of the bull market. Institutions seem to be pretending to be tired, but in fact, they are gathering strength. This is their favorite "fake fatigue" routine. History won't repeat exactly, but it likes to rhyme.

BTC3,19%

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HodlKumamon

· 01-19 05:18

熊熊掐指一算，37%的跌幅在统计上其实就是个标准差内的波动啦，历史数据证明这时候恐慌的人往往就是最后的韭菜呢 You guys are cutting losses, while institutional buy orders have already quietly accumulated, and this is called information asymmetry. Really, I’ve seen 23 similar patterns, and every time after this kind of fluctuation, it takes off. Should we invest regularly with 熊熊 to get through this fake downturn? In the move from 12.6 to 80,000, M2 expansion + ETF continuous accumulation—this combo has always played out the same script in history. Rather than worrying about whether it will go up or down tomorrow, it’s better to allocate your positions according to the Kelly criterion and watch the show with squinted eyes. Don’t rush; the shakeout at the end of a bull market is this torturous. 熊熊 hugs you tightly—once you endure it, the sky’s the limit.

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ConfusedWhale

· 01-18 19:52

It's the same old story... Every time there's a sharp decline, it's said to be a shakeout. Have I really never lost money?

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MetaverseMortgage

· 01-17 03:28

37% cut directly, watching others make money now is really frustrating.

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StableCoinKaren

· 01-16 05:53

Here we go again, every time it drops, they say it's a shakeout; only when it rises is it right.

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defi_detective

· 01-16 05:53

Oh no, this round of shakeout is just to harvest the little guys again, same old trick.

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DarkPoolWatcher

· 01-16 05:52

It's the same bear market shakeout theory again; this explanation always seems to hold true. Here comes the historical rhyme again, but the key is whether this time will end in a crash. From 12.6 to 80,000 directly halved; I don't believe any talk of a shakeout. Institutional "fake fatigue"? Why does it feel like real fatigue?

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VibesOverCharts

· 01-16 05:50

Here we go again with the historical rhymes. Last time I said this, I lost a lot. People who cut their losses and sell off are actually just chips being harvested by institutions; it's all been calculated long ago. A 37% plunge—what's there to fear? The real money-makers should be buying the dip right now.

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ContractTester