2026-01-16 04:51:49

#美国核心物价涨幅不及市场预估 "Bitcoin's two-day top has formed; where to look for support during the pullback"

The two-day top pattern has finally appeared, and the market is beginning to adjust, which is in line with previous expectations. Since the false breakout has been completed, the next focus is on which support levels can hold. I notice that many traders are discussing around $100,000 on the forum, but you need to understand one principle — the forum reflects the thoughts of most retail investors, while market whales aim to cut off these 90% retail traders. Keeping this in mind will help you survive longer.

Regarding $BTC, yesterday's resistance was around 97,500, but unfortunately, it didn't hit that level and only retraced to 97,000 before dropping. Today's short-term resistance is concentrated between 96,550 and 96,700. Looking for support downward, first watch the 93,000–92,600 zone, where a small rebound might occur. If the deep correction continues, around 91,000 is also a support worth observing. As for where the final correction will reach, it depends on the market’s real reaction once prices hit these levels.

The situation with $SOL is clearer. If the hourly candle closes below 143, then the rebound will have to wait until 141. Today, it indeed rebounded at 141. In the short term, support is at 136.3, and resistance is at 144.5. To achieve a nice rebound, a breakout above 146 on the hourly chart is a key signal.

For $ETH, yesterday’s resistance at 3376 was hit, and then the price started to retrace. I also added to my short position at this level. Now, the key is whether the support around 3208 can hold, especially whether the hourly candle will close below this level. If it breaks, then the next support zone at 3170–3150 will be the target.

Overall, the pattern has played out as expected, the false breakout has ended, and the correction has begun. We haven't missed the rhythm or chased the top, so after a sufficient pullback, it’s time to prepare for a trend upward in February. Remember, as long as this correction maintains a narrow-range oscillation, don’t expect a crash. Just keep an eye on how this rhythm evolves.

BTC2,2%

SOL1,23%

ETH2,11%

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AlphaBrain

· 01-19 04:48

It's the same old story again. I'm tired of the contrarian tactics in the square. Where do the real whales cut the leeks? It's not that complicated. There are indeed people guarding the 100,000 USD level, but whether the price can go down or not is another matter. Don't overhype the support and resistance. You're right, narrow-range fluctuations just mean no crash. Let's just wait and see what happens. For this dip in BTC, it should reach around 92 for a full adjustment. If it rebounds past 93, then continue to sell off. SOL has been very active lately. After breaking 143, it really can only wait for 141. That's how I see it. Adding to short positions is really aggressive. Whether ETH can hold at 3200 is hard to say; it might break. I'm not in a hurry for this round of adjustment. Anyway, I said I was preparing to build positions in February. Now that there's a dip, it's actually a good buying opportunity.

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LonelyAnchorman

· 01-17 15:36

Same old story... Retail investors see 100,000 and sell off, but do the big players not see this discussion? Do they have to go against the trend? The logic is a bit confusing. --- BTC has been quite smooth this wave, let's see if the 93 level can hold. If it breaks, then it's a real correction. --- Adding to ETH short positions at 3376, quite bold. If 3208 doesn't hold either, then it will drop straight to 3150. --- The situation with SOL is simpler and pretty good, at least the signals are clear. Break 143 and wait for 141, just do that. --- Narrow-range fluctuations won't lead to a crash... I've heard this many times before. Every time I think it's going to crash, but it doesn't. Alright.

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NervousFingers

· 01-16 05:21

Once again, retail investors see 100,000 and think they need to cut. The logic is sound, but I'm tired of hearing it haha --- Can the 93,000 level really bounce back? Feels like it will just break through --- The SOL signal is clearly clear, but I'm just worried that breaking 146 will be a false breakout --- Adding to short positions at 3376... That's a really bold move. What if it rebounds? --- Narrow fluctuations, huh? I bet it will just drop out in an X shape --- Expectations are that the fake rally will end after completing the move. People say this every time, so why are some still getting caught? --- Building positions in February? Shouldn't we be adding at the bottom now?

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InfraVibes

· 01-16 05:17

Retail investors all look at 100,000, but the big players definitely won't give you 100,000. This is the art of the market. --- You're precisely positioning again. Why do I feel your support levels are more accurate than my stop-loss? --- Adding to short positions at 3376? I can't learn this mental toughness. --- Wait, you say narrow-range fluctuations won't lead to a crash, but what if a black swan suddenly appears? --- Are all the trap setups over? I'm still enjoying the view from the top. --- Wow, built positions in February, and now you're making me wait again. --- SOL rebounded at 141, but I think it wants to continue downward. --- This rhythm is indeed impeccable, but I always operate in the opposite direction. --- Can it really rebound around 92600? Feels like it will just break through. --- Not chasing the high is correct, but the problem is I didn't buy the bottom either, just watching passively.

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OptionWhisperer

· 01-16 05:06

How to say, another rhythm of being cut by the square... 100,000 is indeed a trap --- Adding to the short position at 3376, this wave was correct --- That support at 91000... feels shaky, we need to see the trading volume --- SOL's breakthrough at 146 is only valid if it holds, don't be fooled by false signals --- Narrow-range oscillation without a collapse, how many times have we heard this, just afraid of a black swan --- Building positions in February? Let me see the real bottom first --- Market makers cut the leeks, retail investors look at 100,000... this trick never gets old, huh --- If 3208 can't hold, then go straight to 3150, no suspense --- The expected move is over, the next step is to endure... only those who can withstand the pullback are the winners

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LiquidityWhisperer

· 01-16 05:03

People in the square look at 100,000, and the big players are just waiting to cut in. The principle is very clear, but you still need to figure it out yourself. I haven't chased the high or missed the opportunity, so it's comfortable. Just wait for the February building-up opportunity. Can the 96550 level really hold? It doesn't seem very likely. The 141 rebound of SOL is a bit interesting; we need to see if 146 can break through. Adding to ETH short positions at 3376—this brother is really bold. He's playing a bit aggressively. The core topic is prices; what does it have to do with the crypto circle? Narrow-range fluctuations don't mean a collapse. This saying is valid everywhere.

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BlockchainFoodie

· 01-16 04:59

ngl this smells exactly like a poorly executed smart contract - everyone watching 100k like it's a michelin star rating they all agreed on, but the chef's already moving to table 2. the real proof-of-freshness is how these support levels actually hold up, not what the discord crowd thinks lmao

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