#数字资产市场动态 BTC 15-Minute Market Quick Read: Two Outcomes at the Edge of the Range

The current market pain point is right here—fluctuating around 95,350, a classic narrow-range consolidation. Looking at the candlestick chart, many can't hold back—they either go all-in long or short, only to be slapped back by the market, becoming prey for manipulation.

Where's the problem? Too eager to guess the bottom. Instead of guessing blindly, it's better to read the structure. From the high point at 97,900 downward, the highs are decreasing and the lows are being refreshed—this is a clear bearish trend. Don't interpret this sideways movement as a bottom signal; it's more likely a bearish consolidation—rested enough, and ready to push lower.

How to operate practically? Focus on two breakout signals:

**Option A (70% probability): Breakout to the downside**

Wait for the 15-minute candlestick to close below the support line at 95,300, then open a short position on the rebound. The first target is 94,667 (the previous low), where you should take partial profits to protect capital. If it continues to fall, the next profit target is at 93,500, a key support level. Once support is broken, it could trigger a free fall.

**Option B (30% probability): Fake decline and reversal**

Sometimes the market tricks you. If the price suddenly plunges below 95,000 but quickly rebounds and stays above 95,350, this could be a tactic by the main players to clear panic sell-offs. When it stabilizes, go long at the current price, aiming directly for 96,000 (the upper edge of the range). This is another way to get caught in a trap.

In short, blindly trading in the middle of the range is gambling; real skill lies in waiting for signals at the edges. The 95,350 level is like standing on the edge of a cliff—we don't need to bet early. Let the market decide—will it jump down or be pulled back forcefully?